I must say Scott's write up is excellent, and it features many good points. I?m really enjoying what he has to say!! Keep up the good work.
However, if I may, I would like to add my own intuition to the next month.
One of the many things that I saw over the summer, at the obs, was everyone's personal theory on what the weather was doing. Very interesting indeed.
However, one of the things that an observer stated as well as many scientists that visited the summit was the persistent track of storms that have come up the eastern coast. Ever since the December 6th & 7th dump of last year, where the snow came up into the mountains, where it was not forecasted in that extreme, storms have been tracking erratically up the east coast. For example Bonnie and Clyde (the hurricanes) were both modeled to run through the whites, yet they both veered off to the east. Many of the nor easters last winter did the same. The main hypothesis in gentrified terms is: that it would take a major major storm to reverse this current pattern in the storm tracks. Any opinions?
I don't know, 1 how accurate this is, and 2 if it means much, but I thought I would share it with the rest of you and see what you think of it.
Oh and a little food for thought - The storm on the 7th of December dropped about a foot of snow on the summit of Mount Washington and 52 inches at pinkham. An almost identical storm in 1969 dropped 52 inches at pinkham and 49 inches on the summit. In both storms the winds were very similar and from the same direction. The upper atmosphere appears to have been very similar as well. In addition, precip collection techniques could not create a variance of 40 inches either. ANY explanations?
- porter