schubwa
New member
Say Joe:
Bastardi predicts the current El Niño will fade over the winter and will probably not have as much of a role in the overall weather pattern as one would think during a typical El Niño year. In July, Joe was the first to talk about how the fading El Niño will play a role in the winter forecast. This fading El Niño pattern will lead to a stormier and colder winter in the southern and eastern United States. While the El Niño is fading this winter, other factors are pointing to a winter very similar to that of 2002-2003.
We regulars know Tony poo-poo's long range forecasts, but this one had me scrambling to look up 2002-2003 in the archives. We've been terrified all summer about what is to happen to us here in the PNW, what with the El Nino child in the oven. We are also hosting a Winter Olympics at an area with a very LOW base elevation. Looks pretty sketchy!
Tony has mentioned Mt Bachelor sometimes benefits from the more southerly El Nino-inspired storm tracks. We've had plenty of precip from this lastest Pacific lunker, but after two inches it turned to rain. This warmer pattern is what hurts us most here, as we always get snow early but it tends to get rained off during winters such as these. Still, we have the highest base of any of the meritime PNW ski areas so always seem to have a strong finish. That is exactly what occured during the winter of 2002-2003. Keeping our fingers crossed.
Bastardi predicts the current El Niño will fade over the winter and will probably not have as much of a role in the overall weather pattern as one would think during a typical El Niño year. In July, Joe was the first to talk about how the fading El Niño will play a role in the winter forecast. This fading El Niño pattern will lead to a stormier and colder winter in the southern and eastern United States. While the El Niño is fading this winter, other factors are pointing to a winter very similar to that of 2002-2003.
We regulars know Tony poo-poo's long range forecasts, but this one had me scrambling to look up 2002-2003 in the archives. We've been terrified all summer about what is to happen to us here in the PNW, what with the El Nino child in the oven. We are also hosting a Winter Olympics at an area with a very LOW base elevation. Looks pretty sketchy!
Tony has mentioned Mt Bachelor sometimes benefits from the more southerly El Nino-inspired storm tracks. We've had plenty of precip from this lastest Pacific lunker, but after two inches it turned to rain. This warmer pattern is what hurts us most here, as we always get snow early but it tends to get rained off during winters such as these. Still, we have the highest base of any of the meritime PNW ski areas so always seem to have a strong finish. That is exactly what occured during the winter of 2002-2003. Keeping our fingers crossed.
