Finally a change for Utah?
- Thread starter Admin
- Start date
Really hope that pans out, but everything I've seen shows pretty minimal precip in the area around SLC. I'm no weather forecaster, but it seems that the general consensus is there's gonna be so much moisture to the south that it's gotta snow up north. But wasn't that story for the "storm" that just passed you guys (obviously with way less moisture to work with)?
Don't get me wrong, I'm thinking it's looking promising for next weekend, just cautiously optimistic at this point.
Don't get me wrong, I'm thinking it's looking promising for next weekend, just cautiously optimistic at this point.
socal":313xargz said:
I think the real point Admin is making here is that we'll finally see a full pattern shift in the west in general. This should allow us to get our "normal" flow of storms off the pacific. Next weeks storms will be mostly tracking south, but they are still looking like snowmakers for the north as well.
Im just happy to see a general pattern shift and will just hope for the storms to line up like they tend to.
M
Bluebird Day
New member
No. PNW and western Canada are still above average http://bestsnow.net/seas10.htm. But a week ago they had a lot of rain to 5000+ feet, so qualitatively we are certainly at a low point now. And the 3 regions that are way down (Front Range Colorado, Utah and US Northern Rockies) are pretty important in terms of destination skier visits.
So far it's the worst season since 1991-92 and there are quite a few analogies with that season:
1) Moderate El Nino, strengthening by mid-season.
2) A couple of regions had huge Novembers but were low thereafter.
3) Adequate snow far north and far south with a big drought "hole" in the middle.
The regions with the big November were different, and the drought hole is not exactly the same although it has quite a bit of overlap. How weird was 1991-92? Mt. Baldy had more snow than Snowbird!
There are several weather forecasters who like to predict based upon "analog seasons." I put little stock in this methodology but I'm surprised I haven't started to read about comparisons with 1991-92 yet.
From what I see the Wasatch will get a good shot through the first half next week but the late in the week storms may have a more concentrated southern direction.
So far it's the worst season since 1991-92 and there are quite a few analogies with that season:
1) Moderate El Nino, strengthening by mid-season.
2) A couple of regions had huge Novembers but were low thereafter.
3) Adequate snow far north and far south with a big drought "hole" in the middle.
The regions with the big November were different, and the drought hole is not exactly the same although it has quite a bit of overlap. How weird was 1991-92? Mt. Baldy had more snow than Snowbird!
There are several weather forecasters who like to predict based upon "analog seasons." I put little stock in this methodology but I'm surprised I haven't started to read about comparisons with 1991-92 yet.
From what I see the Wasatch will get a good shot through the first half next week but the late in the week storms may have a more concentrated southern direction.
EMSC
Well-known member
Tony Crocker":n6by1gyz said:
If you are going to do it, perhaps best season in a while to have a baby :-D Though I did hear Eldora advertise on the radio last week that they are over 100" of snowfall this year... Though the best steeps/trees are all closed everything else is open (including some single diamond natural snow trails). Anyway, I've seen worse specifically in Colo over the last dozen years. Though this one is pretty poor - Abasin only has 300 acres of 900 open - Yikes! usually they are debating opening Montezuma bowl by around now.
1991-92 was not particularly bad for Colorado. 2001-02 was very low, but it was the second half of the season that was super dry. So terrain got open somewhat normally. But the spring was cut short some and in May there were huge fires down by Colorado Springs. That was also the year of big spring fires in Arizona.
In terms of early season 1976-77 and 1980-81 were far worse in Colorado that this year. Having those 2 seasons so close together prompted most of the snowmaking infrastructure to be installed after 1981.
In terms of early season 1976-77 and 1980-81 were far worse in Colorado that this year. Having those 2 seasons so close together prompted most of the snowmaking infrastructure to be installed after 1981.