snow this weekend?

asland

New member
From Harvey44:

"Not sure if you guys have seen Powderfreak's call from this afternoon. The executive overview:

"Given the overall look to the synoptic pattern and with the potential for a decent upslope event on Saturday, I think there is a moderate to high risk of 6-12” falling across the northern Green Mountain spine including Bolton Valley, Stowe, Smugglers Notch, and Jay Peak by Saturday night or early Sunday morning.

Elsewhere, I’d say that Whiteface in the Adirondacks, MRG and Sugarbush in the Greens, and Wildcat, Cannon, and Bretton Woods in the Whites stand a moderate to high chance of seeing 3-6” of snow with locally higher amounts. I’m a little uneasy about throwing numbers out still 4 days away from the event, but that’s the type of system I’m looking at right now. It might not be prolific but it’ll likely be the first widespread snow of the season for the ski resorts."

Scott's full forecast here:
http://www.famousinternetskiers.com/sno ... nd-whites/

Anyone heading out to ski Bolton Valley, Stowe, Smugglers Notch, and Jay Peak?

I'll be about 5 miles from Bolton Valley. Any thoughts on skiing up there? Anyone want to meet up to skin up? Or, could someone suggest the best route up, advise me of the stupidity of this idea, , or tell me to go to another mountain that s a bit further drive but would be much better?

thanks,

Asland
 
My current plan is Jay on Sunday. Saturday is a maybe depending on effort required for how much snow. I may hit Cannon instead of Jay on Sunday if Cannon gets enough to make an additional hour and a half round trip in the car not worth while for limited additional snow.
 
riverc0il":ewkn0kfr said:
My current plan is Jay on Sunday.

My plan are very similar...Jay or Sunday...not sure what day yet. Need to figure out the stuff I have to do in MTL first + Alouettes are playing in the Grey Cup on Sunday late afternnon. :shock:
 
Putting the snow tires on this Friday , just to be ready if the forecast pans out for local accumulation at Jay 8-[ . Like the way Jay welcomes everyone to hike /ski if they want.
 
icelanticskier":2k6mi4xg said:
and unfortunately everyone shows up to do just that.

rog
That would actually be Mansfield that gets tracked out in two hours on an earned turn powder day. I have always had plenty of elbow room at Jay before the lifts turned. Surprisingly so, actually.
 
riverc0il":3cm6h9yh said:
icelanticskier":3cm6h9yh said:
and unfortunately everyone shows up to do just that.

rog
That would actually be Mansfield that gets tracked out in two hours on an earned turn powder day. I have always had plenty of elbow room at Jay before the lifts turned. Surprisingly so, actually.

stowe is pretty much a $hit show on any pow day and jay isn't too far behind which is why i don't bother with either any more. if i know that jay is the only one getting dumped on and it's mid week non canadien holiday, and it's actually refill dumping, then i'll go. but, i'd take 10 inches at burke to 18 inches at jay anytime while the lifts spin and there is base.

by late next week there could be some somewhat legit skiing to be had.

rog
 
riverc0il":13yqnelx said:
That would actually be Mansfield that gets tracked out in two hours on an earned turn powder day. I have always had plenty of elbow room at Jay before the lifts turned. Surprisingly so, actually.
The last time I headed up Jay Peak for early/pre season earned turns was a bit over two years ago (November 17th, 2007) and I’d agree that there was plenty of elbow room. It turns out that I did see a few other skiers that day, but that’s because the Jet Triple was actually running, and some people were using it for easier tram side access. I was actually thankful for a few tracks in the deep snow to make the skinning easier, but the place was pretty much deserted (and yes it was a Saturday). Turns were very good for early season:

17NOV07D.jpg


Based on my measurements, I’d say that storm had delivered 20-24 inches of snow in the mid mountain elevations. At the 2,500’ elevation I measured 20 inches:

17NOV07B.jpg


I bring those shots up because this storm has got the potential to do a similar sort of thing. Based on Scott’s latest analyses from today, it looks like the main thing keeping this event from hitting the three foot mark for accumulation would be that the temperatures in the 5,000 to 10,000 foot elevation range don’t seem like they’re going to be optimal for dendritic growth. Thus, we may not get our typical Champlain Powder™ upslope fluff for that part of the storm. Regardless of the fluff factor though, the moisture is going to be there, and it sounds like a lot of it will be deposited as snow. If the ground were already frozen, I think some of the resorts would be knocking on the door to opening some terrain simply on the natural snow. Based on what I’ve seen at Bolton Valley with all their terrain at the main base area being 2,000’+ in elevation, it wouldn’t be too difficult to get some terrain open with a couple inches of liquid equivalent set down. But, the ground generally isn’t frozen in the local mountains right now, so who knows what this storm will do. Scott certainly isn’t willing to make any calls in that area yet. But, if the two storms next week were to go the right way in terms of snowfall, and/or there aren’t any dramatic spikes of warmth, it would be a real shot in the arm for the local resorts. Currently the Burlington NWS point forecast for Mansfield’s higher elevations has nothing above freezing for the next week, along with periods of snow, so there’s certainly potential.

Also, with regard to earning turns on Mansfield, my experience indicates that it is certainly busier than Jay Peak, but there’s no way people are tracking the mountain out in two hours – most people can’t even do two laps on Mansfield in that amount of time if they are earning turns. It’s not even getting tracked out in 24 hours. The reality of a weekend powder day on Mansfield without the lifts is that the popular routes like Nosedive, Perry Merrill, and Gondolier will probably get tracked up, but the alternative routes will still have plenty of fresh snow the following day. It’s only when the powder sits there for several days that the mountain has a chance to get tracked up solely by those earning turns. I’d argue that Scott (Powderfreak), who is certainly an expert on what transpires on Mt. Mansfield throughout the season, would agree based on some comments he made today on SkiVT-L:

“With that said, I'll probably be in the parking lot around 8am Saturday. I'd aim earlier but it’s not like there won't be enough fresh to go around with the resort closed. I've got all day Saturday and all day Sunday wide open so I'm in no hurry and plan on milking it; there is plenty of terrain up there for everyone. If anyone is looking for a more relaxed approach to the day, let me know (i.e. taking photos, video, just enjoying the fresh snow, etc). And yes, there are friends on a powder day when you are hiking/skinning and have no where else you need to be.”

Earning turns at Stowe, one certainly isn’t going to find the solitude that they might find at other resorts, but if Stowe gets a primo dump and you like their terrain options in these situations, I wouldn’t be deterred by fears of tracked up snow if you know your way around. There’s just too much terrain. In fact, based on personal experience, I’m not likely to choose Jay Peak over Stowe in these types of events unless Jay cashed in with notably more snow than Stowe. Jay’s got issues on the tram side with flat terrain at the bottom, and windswept terrain at the top, so the sweet stuff is really in the middle over there. Stateside may be better for these types of setups, so I’d be interested in hearing opinions about that. In any event, Stowe is closer (for me) and has a much better setup with regard to continuous pitch and protection from the wind. Jay’s always on my list of course, since they get great snow and have some nice terrain, but it just takes a bit more to get me there because of some of the mountain’s deficiencies.

-J
 
My "two hour" tracked out may be slightly exaggerated. But I have arrived at 8am to see their gondola parking lot almost completely full. Folks get there at the crack of dawn when the lifts are not even turning and I have had runs where it was difficult picking out completely untracked lines top to bottom on my first run down. On an earned turn powder day, I don't want to have to search for untracked lines or have to think about where skiers are least likely to go. Which is a big advantage of Jay. I know I can skin to the summit and ski Vermonter and find untracked lines even though it is the only early season trail worth skiing from the top.
J.Spin":12dmac0o said:
In fact, based on personal experience, I’m not likely to choose Jay Peak over Stowe in these types of events unless Jay cashed in with notably more snow than Stowe. Jay’s got issues on the tram side with flat terrain at the bottom, and windswept terrain at the top, so the sweet stuff is really in the middle over there. Stateside may be better for these types of setups, so I’d be interested in hearing opinions about that. In any event, Stowe is closer (for me) and has a much better setup with regard to continuous pitch and protection from the wind. Jay’s always on my list of course, since they get great snow and have some nice terrain, but it just takes a bit more to get me there because of some of the mountain’s deficiencies.-J
Stowe does get big points for continuous vertical. Matter of fact, that is one big reason that I want to ski Cannon this weekend (plus the distance factor, so I can also see your point there as you along with the majority of turn earners in that part of VT have the best bang for your distance buck at Mansfield).

Jay is more of a yo yo type mountain for turn earning. Stateside can be a big of a pain because Jet/Haynes are too steep for good skinning. Derick is barely acceptable but switchbacks are needed. Northway to Montrealer is a long haul for that amount of vertical. Best bet for early season is the Wiggle/Northway skin and lapping Vermonter then skinning up for a ski out on Jet/Haynes, or a lap or two via Derick.

Tramside can make for great turn earning. Green Mountain Boys is my favorite no-lift-serviced skiing outside the trees over there and you can skin around via Goat. JFK is good pitch though the Ullr's skin would be a pain if the massive waterbars are not filled in yet. Or you could just skin back up either but as with Jet/Haynes, kind of steep for that. There are other options, but I think those are the best.
 
Sweet - Day #1 under my belt at Bolton Valley (sorry no pics)

Woke up at 5:45 to get out and back so my wife was not stuck with the kids all day. Got in the car in Richmond, VT and the thermometer was read 40 and the rain was coming down. I was starting to get nervous when 1/2 way up the Bolton Valley Mountain Road it was still reading 36 degrees but by the time I had hit the Timber lodge it was turning to snow with about an inch on the road and by the time I hit the upper lodge there was 6 inches on the road and the wind was howling. Slick heavy snow. Honda civic still sporting summer tires was not loving it.

I had to drive back to the timber lodge so that I could park and still be able to get out.

Started skinning up at 6:10 with headlamp on. Started up Timberline run with 1 inch of snow. By the time I hitFive corners there was several inches down. By the top of Cobrass there was above the boot deep snow. Down below was heavy slushy snow while higher up was much softer snow. I might not go as far as to say powder but still pretty light.

At the top, I hid behind some trees to get out of the wind and strip of the skins, buckle op and strap them on.

I started down cobrass. Had some good first turns and even caught some small air. Then down the 5 corners. Some good rolling turns and great coverage but I could really feel the snow getting heavier. Boot packed back up the villager and hit Upper Tattle Tale. It was a little light on snow but some good turns were still found. At the bottom ski out it was just hopping over water bars and rying to stay up on 1 inch of snow.

good first day O:)
 
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