Tahoe Resorts won't be operating this Thanksgiving!!!

[jon1233]

Winter won't be arriving by thanksgiving, and there is record high temps!!! ARGH!!!!!! :x :x :x :x :x :x :x :x :x :x :x :x

 

[Killclimbz]

Yeah that farg'in sucks. I am going to be out in Cali for Xmas visiting the pods. I was hoping to hit up some BC in the tahoe area. Not looking good so far. Of course, Tahoe can get 15ft of snow in under two weeks...

 

[ChrisC]

And summer has finally come to SF/Bay Area.....temps almost to 80F. Much warmer than July...

Yeah, looks like Thanksgiving is a big bust. But so was 02/03 and 03/04...until the 10 feet showed up in mid-December.

Waitng for the jet stream to change.

 

[Tony Crocker]

Detail breakdown of Mammoth Jan. 1 conditions over past 37 years:

0-30% open: 16%
50-70% open: 11%
80-90% open: 11%
100% open: 62%

Detail breakdown of Mammoth Jan. 1 conditions over 15 years <20% open Nov. 15:

0-30% open: 40%
50-70% open: 7%
80-90% open: 13%
100% open: 40%

This provides a good illustration of the degree the odds move by having the first quarter of the 11/1-12/31 time period be dry. And why you increase your odds of success by holding off booking trips until the season starts.

I would guess the figures above would be a little better at Kirkwood and Sugar Bowl, about the same at Alpine Meadows, and worse elsewhere in the Sierra.

 

[ChrisC]

What's the money on 0-30% at Jan 1 at Mammoth?

I'll take it.

Where is winter?

 

[Tony Crocker]

There were another 7 seasons right around 20% on Nov. 15 most of which were not too bad by Jan. 1. But I'll stand by the 40% prediction because:

1) Mammoth isn't 20% open, it's 5% and it wouldn't be open at all if not for snowmaking.
2) It isn't Nov. 15, it's now Nov. 24 and no new snow is in sight. I will probably pull the plug on my Mammoth weekend Dec. 16-18.