Why the South West is So Dry - Bad Karma

longshanks":2unh5mce said:
Making BIG predictions about snow fall months in advance may be a Fool's Game...and maybe there is no explanation to explain what is happening (or not) in California but Man, this is like saying Shut Out with a minute left in the 3rd. Bad Karma? Just Sayin...
Found a link to this article on TGR.

http://mammothtimes.com/content/thousand-inch-winter-really
Click to expand...

Looks like only that local from June Lake was expecting a huge winter, and his source didn't check out. Most of the real experts weren't expecting above normal precipitation, per that article.
 
baldyskier":3fwpz5ma said:
Most of the real experts weren't expecting above normal precipitation
Click to expand...
Yes but no one had any inkling of what actually did happen, either. Not even remotely close. Come to think of it, it was the same last year. Now, it may be that winters like this one and last (tail-ends of the distribution) are much harder to predict. But I will consider the prognosis come next autumn, for-entertainment-purposes-only.
 
That was a completely ignorant prediction. Mammoth's average is 365 inches. Last year's record was 179%. 1000 inches would be 273%. Portillo is the only ski area with a 200+ inch average that I have ever found to have a 200+% season. Mt. Baker and Mt. Rainier, which average well over 600 inches, are the only places that have ever reached 1000.
 
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