avalanche advisory

February 7, 2007 - 7:09 am   Today, there is a MODERATE avalanche danger on most slopes steeper than about 35 degrees for wet loose sluffs and a few wet slabs.  The wet loose sluffs will be most widespread the shady mid and low elevation slopes and on steep sunny slopes.  There also remains a MODERATE danger of triggering an old or new drift of wind blown snow on steep mid and upper elevation slopes.  MODERATE danger means human triggered avalanches are possible.

Evelyn Lees

Links: Avalanche List Photos Profile List Weather Links Encyclopedia Under mostly clear skies, temperatures are running a few degrees cooler than yesterday morning, with the highest elevations below freezing in the upper 20’s to near 30.  However, many stations in the 7,500’ to 10,000’ level are still above freezing for the second night in a row, with temperatures in the mid 30’s.  The winds have shifted to a southwesterly direction, and are generally in the 5 to 10 mph range, with gusts to 20 mph.  Only a few of the highest peaks have speeds to 25 mph.

While few people were in the backcountry yesterday, those who were observed wet avalanche activity.  Yesterday, in the Parley Summit area it was easy to trigger wet loose sluffs on steep shady slopes between 6,500'-8,200’, which were breaking out in old dry facets and gouging to the ground.  Similar natural activity was reported on low elevation shady slopes in the Provo area mountains, with the sluffs releasing in damp facets.  There was also a decent size sluff reported on a steep, southeast facing slope off north summit of Cascade peak, at approximately 10,400'.  All of these had debris piles deep enough to bury a person.

24 Hrs Today, people will continue to be able to trigger wet loose sluffs on steep shady and sunny slopes, especially as the day heats up.  These surface sluffs can gouge down and entrain loose snow, resulting in a lot of punch and substantial piles of debris.  They will be common on both mid and low elevation shady slopes and steep sunny slopes.  It may also be possible to trigger a few wet slab avalanches where crusts are sitting on damp facets, so don’t let this morning’s shallow surface refreeze fool you.

24 Hrs The other avalanche problem for today is the continuing chance of triggering a hard wind drift or crust at higher elevations that is sitting on a weak layer of persistent facets.  Yesterday’s winds may have created a few new sensitive drifts in addition to the old drifts.  These hard slabs are tricky as they often break out above you, and even a small slide can be dangerous if it takes you for a ride through rocks or into a gully where you can be more easily buried.   They are most widespread on north through southeast facing slopes.

High pressure will weaken today, with a mild, moist westerly flow developing over the area and remaining through the weekend.  Clouds will increase this afternoon, with temperatures warming into the mid 40’s at 8,000’ and the mid 30’s at 10,000’.  This morning’s light southwesterly winds will increase into the 15 to 25 mph range this afternoon, with gusts into the 30’s. Along the highest ridgelines, wind speed will increase into the 20’s with gusts to 40.  Skies will be mostly cloudy tonight through Friday.  There is a chance for occasional light snow through Friday, with a rain/snow line in the 6 – 7,000’ range.   

Our partners, the Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, will be hosting a fundraiser of a new Teton Skiing documentary tomorrow night, February 8th,  at Brevwies at 7:30 pm.   

Also tomorrow night, February 8th, the UAC will be giving a FREE avalanche awareness talk at the Sandy REI, at 7 pm and there is a FREE Avalanche Rescue and Beacon Use talk at the Huntsville Library at 7 pm.  There will also be a FREE Beacon clinic Saturday at the Snowbasin Rescue Training Center at 10 am.  For more information, call 940-0521.

Yesterday, the Wasatch Powderbird Guides did not fly, and they won’t fly again today.  With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.

Listen to the advisory.  Try our new streaming audio or podcastsUDOT highway avalanche control work info can be found HERE or by calling (801) 975-4838.

Our statewide tollfree line is 1-888-999-4019 (early morning, option 8).For a list of avalanche classes, click HEREFor our classic text advisory click HERE.To sign up for automated e-mails of our graphical advisory click HEREWe appreciate any snowpack and avalanche observations you have, so please leave us a message at (801) 524-5304 or 1-800-662-4140, or email us at uac@avalanche.org. (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.Bruce Tremper will update this advisory by 7:30 on Thursday morning, and thanks for calling.

This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with: 
Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County

DISCLAIMER: Above is information on each factor affecting todays' danger rating. All factors must be considered to develop a backcountry travel plan that will reduce your risk.
 


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
February 8, 2007 - 7:08 am
SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  Although it’s impossible to describe conditions like this with danger ratings, I would say it’s mostly MODERATE avalanche danger on most slopes steeper than about 35 degrees with pockets of CONSIDERABLE or higher danger on slopes with deposits of wind drifted snow, especially in thin snowpack areas.

    LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
The past three days, we’ve had t-shirt and ball cap weather with ridge top temperatures with highs 40-45 degrees with 8,000’ temperatures in the 50’s.  This morning it has cooled down into the mid 20’s.  A weak impulse overnight left us with a mighty trace of new snow and ridge top winds have picked up and are blowing 20-30 from the west and southwest.  Snow surface conditions are character-building variety of sun and wind crusts, manky, refrozen glop and a few scraps of soft, recrystallzed snow on sun and wind sheltered slopes.  Yup, another good office day.  But at least the smog has cleared out in the valleys.
RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES Yesterday a huge, hard-slab avalanche released naturally along the Park City Ridgeline in Radar Love Bowl, which is near Scott’s Peak, the one with all the radar towers.  It was 2-3 feet deep and broke up to 8 feet deep on one edge.  It was nearly 200 yards wide on a 35 degree, east facing slope just under 10,000’.  It was rock-hard, wind blown snow that slid on a thin layer of faceted snow and surface hoar sandwiched between hard, wind slabs.  PHOTOS and VIDEO.  AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs This is the kind of avalanche that gives avalanche folks grey hair (or no hair in my case).  It’s been 3 days since that slope was loaded with wind drifted snow.  The only recent disturbance was the very warm temperatures yesterday and the day before, which in theory accelerates the creep rate of the slab.  Regardless of any of our puny theories, one thing is for sure; if there’s one, there are likely others.  It’s just like the old horror movie trick; just when you are starting to relax, the monster jumps out of the closet. Welcome to a “Colorado snowpack.”  Although the colder temperatures and clouds today should, in theory, diminish this kind of monkey business, after what I saw yesterday, I’m not going near any steep slopes with deposits of wind drifted snow.But other than some isolated, impossible-to-survive, hard-slabs lurking about, everyone is reporting generally stable snow.  Does that make you feel any more confident?Most of the wet sluffs from the past two days will probably calm down today with cooler temperatures and clouds, but the snow is still soggy under the surface crusts, so continue to be cautious on steep slopes.

 

MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS We have another weak disturbance for later today that may give us another inch of snow if we’re lucky.  The rain-snow line will be around 7,000’.  Otherwise mostly variable clouds with ridge top winds around 20 mph with gusts to 40 from the west and southwest.  Ridge top temperatures will remain in the mid 20’s and skies will be mostly cloudy all day.

 For Friday, we have a weak disturbance on a southwest to south flow that will likely give us a couple inches of snow.   We will likely have a quick clearing on Saturday, then we have another similar trough passing on Sunday and Monday, which may give us a few more inches.

GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> Our partners, the Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, will be hosting a fundraiser of a new Teton Skiing documentary tonight  at Brevwies at 7:30 pm. 

Also tonight, Brett Kobernik will be giving a FREE avalanche awareness talk at the Sandy REI, at 7 pm and there is a FREE Avalanche Rescue and Beacon Use talk at the Huntsville Library at 7 pm.  There will also be a FREE Beacon clinic Saturday at the Snowbasin Rescue Training Center at 10 am.  For more information, call 940-0521.

We’re unveiling the new look to our avalanche advisory today thanks to the design work by Jim Conway and the back-end programming by our own Brett Kobernik.  We still have a few additions and changes to come.  We also have a new Media Page to communicate present and future avalanche danger ratings.

Yesterday, the Wasatch Powderbird Guides did not fly, and they probably won’t fly again today.  With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.Listen to the advisory.  Try our new streaming audio or podcastsUDOT highway avalanche control work info can be found HERE or by calling (801) 975-4838.

Our statewide tollfree line is 1-888-999-4019 (early morning, option 8).For a list of avalanche classes, click uac@avalanche.org (uac@avalanche.org). (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.Brett Kobernik will update this advisory by 7:30 on Friday morning, and thanks for calling.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
February 9, 2007 - 7:12 am
SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  A MODERATE danger exists on slopes approaching 35 degrees or steeper that have had deposits of wind drifted snow from last weekend.  These are tricky conditions since not all slopes have this condition and obvious clues to avalanching may not be present.

Kobernik

    LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
Yesterday temperatures cooled about 10 degrees compared to the day before.  However, mild temperatures continue in the mountains.  While overnight temperatures were below freezing along the upper elevation ridges, temperatures still were above freezing along the 8000 foot ridges.  Wind directions vary greatly from station to station this morning but are generally from the southwest in the 5 to 10 mph range gusting into the 20s and 30s at the most exposed locations.
RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES Very weak faceted snow continues to plague our snowpack.  This weakness is buried under a wind slab in many locations that formed last weekend and is waiting to be buried in other locations.  This produced numerous human triggered as well as a few natural avalanches.  Some of these avalanches were quite large and unsurvivable if someone were caught.  This trend will continue especially as we add more snow which we should see happen somewhat starting today through the weekend.  

The lack of snow this season breeds strong “powder fever” which makes us go against our better judgment sometimes. If we do start adding snow it’ll be prudent to play things very conservative by staying on lower angle slopes.

AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs For today there are lingering spots that could avalanche in areas that received a new wind load last weekend.  These are mainly on mid to upper elevation slopes on north through southeast facing aspects.  Remember the mountain terrain channels wind in various directions so these slabs may not be limited to just those aspects.  MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS We’re under a moist westerly flow today through the weekend that should produce snow. Today and tonight snow showers will mainly be in the more northern portion of the state with snow levels around 8000 feet. Today we’ll see cloudy skies with high temperatures along the 9000 and 10,000 foot ridges in the upper 20s and winds from the southwest in the 5 to 10 mph range gusting into the 20s and 30s at the most exposed locations. Winds increase a bit tonight. The best chance for snow is Saturday into Sunday. Weather models are showing quite high water amounts through this period and even if we cut those in half we still are looking at around an inch of water fairly evenly distributed throughout the mountains. If this happens avalanche conditions will get interesting. GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> Thanks to everyone who showed up at Brewvies for the fundraising movie last night.  It was a packed house and sounds like everyone enjoyed the evening.

We’re unveiling the new look to our avalanche advisory today thanks to the design work by Jim Conway and the back-end programming by our own Brett Kobernik. We still have a few additions and changes to come. We also have a new Media Page to communicate present and future avalanche danger ratings.

Yesterday, the Wasatch Powderbird Guides did not fly, and they probably won’t fly again today. With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.Listen to the advisory.  Try our new streaming audio or podcastsUDOT highway avalanche control work info can be found HERE or by calling (801) 975-4838.

Our statewide tollfree line is 1-888-999-4019 (early morning, option 8).For a list of avalanche classes, click uac@avalanche.org (uac@avalanche.org). (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.Evelyn Lees will update this advisory by 7:30 on Saturday morning, and thanks for calling.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
February 10, 2007 - 6:59 am
SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  This will be a weekend of increasing avalanche danger.  This morning, there is a MODERATE avalanche danger on all slopes approaching 35 degrees or steeper, especially those with fresh or old deposits of wind drifted snow and the low to mid elevations due to warm temperatures.  The avalanche danger will increase to CONSIDERABLE this afternoon or evening as soon as additional snow or rain starts to fall, rising fastest on slopes where the southwesterly winds drift the snow.  

Evelyn lees

    LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
A weak warm front moved through just before dawn, bringing cloudy skies and a trace to an inch of snow to the mountains, mostly north of I-80.  Winds are from the west southwest, generally in the 5 to 10 mph range, with a few of the most exposed locations having overnight averages of 15 to 30 mph.  Temperatures continue to be unseasonably warm, in the mid 20’s at 10,000’, with a band of above freezing temperatures between about 6,500’ to 8,000’.   The old snow surface mostly consists of crusts, ranging from thin zipper crusts, to breakable to icy hard.


RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES This will be a weekend of increasing avalanche danger, and the insightful Tom Kimbrough always felt periods of rising avalanche danger were some of the trickiest and most dangerous times for backcountry travelers.  This winter’s “powder drought” and unusually weak, variable snowpack will make it doubly hard to evaluate the changing conditions.  

Yesterday, 4 small slides were triggered in the Provo area mountains, including a small 3” deep hard slab 8 feet wide and two similarly small soft wind drifts, all breaking on super weak facets and a facet sluff.  Many locations have a similar snow pack, with a thin crust precariously balanced on top of ridiculously weak facets.  AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs Today, it will be possible to trigger comparable slides – loose sluffs in the facets, hard crusts, and old wind drifts - in isolated areas.  Remember, the weak faceted snow exists on just about every aspect, every elevation, either at the surface or shallowly buried beneath thin crusts or old hard wind drifts, so any slopes of about 35 degrees or steeper should be approached with caution.   In areas with the hard drifts or crusts, these slides can be triggered remotely or will often break out above you, which means even these 4” deep slides will knock you off balance and have the potential to take you for a ride in steep terrain.   Once a slide starts, it has the potential to break into deeper layers, becoming wider or gouging down into the loose, sandbox snow.  The weakest snow is on northerly through southeasterly facing slopes, and in the shallower snowpack areas, which are most widespread, but certainly not limited, to the Park City ridgeline, Western Uinta and Provo area mountains.  The ongoing warm temperatures and possible rain will continue the chance of triggered wet sluffs or even a wet slabs today.

MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS A moist southwesterly flow will bring a series of weather disturbances across Utah through the weekend.  This morning’s disturbance is rapidly moving east, and there should be a break for most of the day, with partly to mostly cloudy skies and only a few light snow flurries.  Snow will redevelop late this afternoon, with 1 to 3” of damp snow possible by evening.  The rain/snow line will be around 8,000’.  Temperatures today will be in the upper 20’s at 10,000’ and the upper 30’s at 8,000’.  Winds will be from the west southwest, in the 10 to 20 mph range, increasing this afternoon into the 15 to 25 mph range across the highest peaks, with gusts in the 30’s.  Snow tonight, with 2 to 6” possible, moderate westerly winds and temperatures cooling slightly into the mid 20’s.  Periods of snow will continue through Monday morning.

GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> We have a new look to our avalanche advisory thanks to the design work by Jim Conway and the back-end programming by Brett Kobernik.  We still have a few additions and changes to come.  We also have a new Media Page to communicate present and future avalanche danger ratings.

Yesterday, the Wasatch Powderbird Guides did not fly, and in the unlikely event they fly today, they will be in Cardiff, Days, Silver, White Pine, American Fork and Snake Creek.  With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.Listen to the advisory.  Try our new streaming audio or podcastsUDOT highway avalanche control work info can be found HERE or by calling (801) 975-4838.

Our statewide tollfree line is 1-888-999-4019 (early morning, option 8).For a list of avalanche classes, click HEREFor our classic text advisory click HERE.To sign up for automated e-mails of our graphical advisory click HEREWe appreciate any snowpack and avalanche observations you have, so please leave us a message at (801) 524-5304 or 1-800-662-4140, or email us at uac@avalanche.org. (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.Drew Hardesty will update this advisory by 7:30 on Sunday morning, and thanks for calling.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
February 13, 2007 - 7:05 am
SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  The danger for the Salt Lake, Park City, Provo, and Ogden area mountains is CONSIDERABLE.  Human triggered avalanches are likely especially on east and northeast facing slopes but caution needs to be taken on all aspects.  Those without good route finding or avalanche skills should avoid the backcountry.  Do not travel in run out zones which means stay away from areas with steep terrain above you.

    LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
The winds have really dropped off and are generally light from the south.  Temperatures are in the mid teens to low 20s and we have mostly cloudy skies.  There is some snow moving into the Provo area mountains.
RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES WOW!  What a day for looking at avalanches yesterday.  Large natural avalanches occurred in the mountains from Provo to Ogden over the weekend.  We’ve been crying about how weak our snowpack is for months saying “once we get a load, look out”.  Well, we’ve got a load, so look out!  These slides averaged around 2 feet deep but had fracture lines up to 4 feet.  Many of them were 100 to 200 feet wide.  I’ll be updating our avalanche list and photo list on our web site this morning with the tidal wave of observations from Monday.

There were a number of close calls with human triggered avalanches on Monday that produced very dangerous slides.  A couple were in White Pine, Twin Lakes Pass, Figure 8 hill, and Claytons Peak behind Brighton.  There’s no need in dissecting the snowpack trying to figure out details.  Weak faceted snow with scattered surface hoar is the weakness and the snow from the last two storms is the slab.  Many slopes were pushed to the brink supporting as much new weight as they could but didn’t avalanche.  This means they’re just waiting for a trigger.  Collapsing or “Whoomping” of the snowpack is the biggest clue to this.

AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs The potential for a person to trigger a large and dangerous avalanche is likely today.  Again, these slides are big enough where you don’t want to toy with them.  Sticking to low angled terrain is a good way to avoid the danger.  Personally, I can’t enjoy steeper terrain with the thought of avalanching in my head all day long so low angled terrain sets my mind at ease as well.  If you do venture into low angled terrain, make sure you don’t have steeper slopes above you.  The collapsing that is occurring can easily propagate up a slope from the flats and trigger an avalanche.

MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS A storm system will move through Utah today and produce snow but this will be mainly from the Provo mountains south.  We’ll see partly cloudy skies with a few inches of snow possible from the Salt Lake mountains northward.  4 to 8 inches of snow with around a half inch of water is expected in the central mountains of Utah with the addition of the Provo area.  Additional snow will increase the avalanche danger in these areas.  Temperatures will be in the low to mid 20s and ridgetop winds will be light and generally from the southwest.  A northwest flow will be in place for the remainder of the week but with only slight chances for snow before a ridge of high pressure moves in for the weekend.

GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> Yesterday, the Wasatch Powderbird Guides flew in American Fork and will be in Cardiff, Days, Silver, Grizzly, White Pine, Mill Creek and the Sessions weather permitting today.  With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.Listen to the advisory.  Try our new streaming audio or podcastsUDOT highway avalanche control work info can be found HERE or by calling (801) 975-4838.

Our statewide tollfree line is 1-888-999-4019 (early morning, option 8).For a list of avalanche classes, click uac@avalanche.org (uac@avalanche.org). (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.Evelyn Lees will update this advisory by 7:30 on Wednesday morning, and thanks for calling.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
February 14, 2007 - 6:43 am
SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE on mid and upper elevation slopes steeper than about 35 degrees, facing northwest through southeast.  Human triggered avalanches are likely on slopes that have not slid.   Other steep slopes have a MODERATE danger.   The key to safe travel in the backcountry today is to stay on low angle terrain.  Avalanches can still be triggered from a distance, so avoid travel below steep terrain.

Forecaster: Evelyn Lees LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
Skies are partly cloudy this morning, with a trace to 2” of new snow overnight.  Temperatures are in the teens to single digits, and the northerly winds are generally averaging less than 15 mph except for a few of the highest peaks.  The sunny southeast through westerly facing slopes are now crusted, with good powder remaining on other aspects.  Low angle slopes have excellent riding conditions.


RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES Whoomphing sounds continued to ring throughout the Wasatch yesterday, even on already traveled slopes.  Three slides were triggered remotely on northeasterly facing slopes, the largest 3’ deep x 150’ wide, the other pockets 50’ and 75’ wide.  One skier had a slide break out 40’ above them, 1-2’ deep by 100’, going for a short uneventful ride.  More observations came in of widespread natural activity that occurred during the storm.  For photos, snow profiles and the daily updated avalanche list, click on the links to the left.

AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs Two types of slides have occurred over the past few days – the smaller new snow soft slabs and the larger hard slabs, both of which are failing on facets and surface hoar and can be triggered remotely.  The smaller new snow slides are easily triggered.  They are dangerous, especially in steep terrain or if they wash you into trees or into a terrain trap such as a gully.  In addition to along ridgelines, many are occurring in wind sheltered mid elevation terrain, on steeper rollovers.  Today’s increasing winds may create more sensitive drifts along the higher ridges.

WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs In the more wind affected, higher elevation terrain, there remains an isolated chance you could trigger a much deeper, wider slide of hard, dense snow.  These hard slabs are tricky – they tend to break well above you, or after several people have skied the slope.  Basically, any steep slope that hasn’t slid is still suspect.  In some rocky areas, the chutes have slid, but not the aprons below, which are steep and still could be triggered. 

MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS A brisk northwesterly flow will remain in place through Friday, with occasional mountain snow showers in areas favored by northwest flow.  Increasing clouds today, with a trace to an inch of snow possible.  Temperatures will be in the mid 20’s at 8,000’ and mid teens at 10,000’.  Along the highest ridges, the northwesterly winds will increase, into the 20 to 30 mph range with gusts into the 40’s.  Along the lower ridgelines, winds speeds will generally remain below 20 mph.  Thursday and Friday will be cloudy, with occasional light snow and significantly stronger winds.  A ridge of high pressure will move in for the weekend.

GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> The Banff Mountain Film Festival will be held at Kingsbury Hall February 20 & 21st.  Tickets are $7.50 per show and available at Kingsbury Hall, Art-Tix, the Salt Lake and Sandy REI stores, and the Outdoor Recreation Program at the U of U.  Shows start at 7pm each night.  (CLICK FOR DETAILS)Yesterday, the Wasatch Powderbird Guides flew in Cardiff, American Fork, and Grizzly and today will be in Cardiff, Days, Silver, White Pine, and American Fork weather permitting.  With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.Listen to the advisory.  Try our new streaming audio or podcastsUDOT highway avalanche control work info can be found HERE or by calling (801) 975-4838.

Our statewide tollfree line is 1-888-999-4019 (early morning, option 8).For a list of avalanche classes, click uac@avalanche.org (uac@avalanche.org). (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.Bruce Tremper will update this advisory by 7:30 on Thursday morning, and thanks for calling.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
February 15, 2007 - 6:58 am
SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  The avalanche danger remain CONSIDERABLE on any slope steeper than about 35 degrees with recent wind deposits and also a lingering CONSIDERABLE danger even on non-wind drifted slopes that face northwest, north, northeast and east above about 8,500’. Other slopes will have MODERATE danger.   You should continue to stay on gentler terrain. 

Forecaster: Bruce Tremper LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
The winds are blowing hard from the west and northwest. With the jet over us, the higher elevation stations are blowing significantly harder than ones just a couple thousand vertical feet lower. At 11,000’ the winds are blowing 40, gusting to 60 but most other ride top locations are blowing 20 gusting to 35. Temperatures are cold this morning around 13 on the ridge tops but they will warm up into the 20’s later today with continued strong winds and light snow showers, which will increase avalanche danger throughout the day.


RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES Although snow avalanche activity has thankfully diminished from the widespread activity on Sunday and Monday, there are still many slabs hanging in the balance just waiting for a trigger. Yesterday, a backcountry skier triggered an avalanche on a ski cut on Box Elder Peak. It was on a steep, north facing slope around 9800’ and it broke 2 or more feet deep and 60 feet wide. He narrowly escaped being caught. PHOTO. Also, someone collapsed the flat slope at the top of Flanigans, which is a tree-gladed slope in Silver Fork near Solitude, and it triggered a 2’ deep avalanche on faceted snow.

FYI, I investigated a huge avalanche that skiers triggered in White Pine Canyon on Monday.  Several slopes avalanched at once and it took out both their up tracks and descent tracks.  They were very lucky.  PHOTOS.

AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs Today the main concern will be fresh wind slabs forming from the strong west to northwest winds.  Strong winds combined with rising temperature will create sensitive wind deposits.  They will form mostly along the upper elevation east to south facing slopes, but they will be cross-loaded onto other slopes as well.  Be sure to avoid all steep slopes with recent deposits of wind drifted snow.  They will look smooth and rounded and often feel slabby and south hollow. WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs Also, as you will get tired of us saying, this extremely weak and fragile layer of depth hoar, buried about two feet deep, will not gain strength very rapidly.  It will continue to produce avalanches every time new snow or wind blown snow overloads it and occasionally when someone jumps on it.  These are the kinds of pesky conditions where several people can get away with a bold line but the next person will trigger a large, potentially deadly avalanche.  All the cagy people I know are continuing to play it conservative and staying on gentler slopes.  Remember that you can trigger avalanches from a distance, so avoid travel below steep terrain. MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS Today and Friday we will have a moist, west to northwest airmass with strong winds and rising temperature. We should get about 6 inches today and another few more inches tonight with more snow accumulating the farther north you go. Ridge top winds will continue to be strong, around 35, gusting to near 60 from the west and northwest and will continue strong on Friday. Ridge top temperatures will be in the lower teens this morning and rise to the lower 20’s by afternoon. Total snow accumulation by late Friday could be around 10 inches in favored areas.The extended forecast calls for warm and dry this weekend with a storm early in the week with most of the energy diving south of us, but it should give us a few inches of snow.

GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> The Banff Mountain Film Festival will be held at Kingsbury Hall next Tuesday and Wednesday, February 20 & 21st.  Tickets are $7.50 per show and available at Kingsbury Hall, Art-Tix, the Salt Lake and Sandy REI stores, and the Outdoor Recreation Program at the U of U.  Shows start at 7pm each night.  (CLICK FOR DETAILS)

Yesterday, the Wasatch Powderbird Guides flew in American Fork, Silver Fork and Grizzly.  Today, they most likely be shut down for wind and snow, but if possible, they will be in the same areas plus Cardiff.  With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.uac@avalanche.org (uac@avalanche.org). (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.Brete Kobernik will update this advisory by 7:30 on Friday morning, and thanks for calling.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
February 16, 2007 - 7:00 am
SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE on any slope steeper than about 35 degrees, especially with recent drifts of wind blown snow.  CONSIDERABLE means human triggered slides are probable and natural avalanches possible.   Pockets of HIGH danger exist in areas that received the most snow and wind, including the upper elevations of Little Cottonwood and the Ogden area mountains.  People without good snow stability and avalanche skills should avoid backcountry travel today.  Those heading into the backcountry should choose routes and tours with lots of options to stay on low angle terrain.  Natural avalanches and remotely triggered avalanches are possible, so avoid travel below steep slopes.

Forecaster: Evelyn Lees LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
Snow is falling at most mountain stations this morning, with overnight snow totals in the 3 to 6” range.  24 hour snow totals are 2 to 10”, with water equivalents of ¼ of an inch to almost 1 ½ inches of water.  The heaviest snowfall has been in parts of the Ogden area mountains and in Little Cottonwood.  The northwesterly winds increased dramatically overnight, averaging 15 to 25 mph at most stations, with gusts into the 30’s and 40’s.  Across the highest peaks, speeds have been 40 to 50 mph, with gusts to 70.  Temperatures graphs show an impressive upward march, with stations 10 to 15 degrees warmer than yesterday morning.  The snow is inverted, dense on light, with a thin rime crust mid storm in many locations.


RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES Yesterday, there were many more reports of widespread collapsing throughout the range.  Sensitive, small wind drifts were triggered up to 8' long by 2' deep.  One soft slab was released on facets (Photo), 18" deep by 40' wide, on a north facing slope at 9,700’ with a ski cut.  Snow pits continue to show easy failure on the buried facets and around a sun crust that formed Tuesday on southeasterly facing slopes. 

AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs The first avalanche problem today is the fresh, dense wind drifts formed by the strong, northwesterly winds that have been blowing overnight.  These drifts will be most common along the ridgelines on east and southeasterly facing slopes, but due to the strong wind speeds, snow will also be drifted well off ridgelines.  Watch for cross loading around terrain features such as rocks and rollovers at mid and low elevations. The dense, warm drifts may be stubborn, but could then break out wide once they get moving.  Any new wind drifts triggered could easily step down into old snow.

WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs The second avalanche problem is the new snow is once again overloading the deeper, weak faceted layers.  Slides failing on these facets will take out two storms worth of snow, and avalanche depths could be 1 to 3’ deep and pull out wider than expected onto low angle adjacent slopes.  Slopes that slid last cycle could repeat.  Slides can be triggered from a distance and natural avalanches are possible today, so avoid travel below and adjacent to steep slopes.  

MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS A strong, moist northwest flow will remain over the area through this afternoon.  Light snow will continue this morning, before tapering later today.  The strong northwesterly winds will persist all day, with ridgeline averages in the 25 to 35 mph range, and gusts to near 50.  Speeds will be greater along the most exposed ridges.  Temperatures will remain near freezing at 8,000’ and near 20 at 10,000’.   Winds will decrease tonight as high pressure builds in for the weekend.   

GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> The Banff Mountain Film Festival will be held at Kingsbury Hall next Tuesday and Wednesday, February 20 & 21st.  Tickets are $7.50 per show and available at Kingsbury Hall, Art-Tix, the Salt Lake and Sandy REI stores, and the Outdoor Recreation Program at the U of U.  Shows start at 7pm each night.  (uac@avalanche.org (uac@avalanche.org). (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.Brett Kobernik will update this advisory by 7:30 on Saturday morning, and thanks for calling.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
February 20, 2007 - 7:03 am
SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  The avalanche danger remains CONSIDERABLE on slopes over 35 degrees on north through east facing aspects.  Avalanches on these aspects can be quite large.  The danger is less on other aspects and lower angle slopes but if you are getting onto steep slopes you still need to evaluate the snow pack carefully.

Forecaster: Brett Kobernik LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
Yesterday was the tenth day in a row with human triggered avalanches and my money is on today being the eleventh.  Temperatures cooled into the single digits and low teens in many mountain locations and winds are less then 10 mph except at the more exposed locations where there are gusts into the 30s.  A few more inches of snow fell yesterday morning before the storm cleared mid day.


RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES Human triggered avalanches continued on Monday.  One was remotely triggered from skiers on a ridge in Mill D North.  It was around 75 feet wide, 2 feet deep and ran around 500 feet vertical.  It was on a north facing aspect with a slope angle of around 35 degrees.  The weak layer was very fragile faceted snow along with surface hoar.  (PHOTOS)

The second avalanche was a solo skier near Cardiac bowl who triggered an avalanche and was caught, carried and at least partially buried.  Landowners with permitted snowmobiles watched the incident and dug out the skier who lost all of his gear.  They gave him a ride out.  We’ll have more details on this soon.

AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs I don’t really care that cracking and collapsing are not happening as much as a few days ago, just the bad snowpack structure alone is enough to keep me of off steep north through east facing slopes.  Continued avalanching is proof.  Those of you who don’t have much experience in backcountry travel should continue to avoid steep slopes.  Those with experience, keep this in mind.  The faceted snow that’s buried deep in the pack is much weaker then we are used to.  We also have buried surface hoar scattered throughout the range which we are also not used to.  Surface hoar is responsible for killing many people in areas where it is more common such as in Canada.  Both of these are persistent weak layers and may persist longer then we anticipate.  There are some other layers that are shearing within the top two feet of snow but these problems are only secondary to the deeper weakness.

MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS Today we’ll see partly cloudy skies with temperatures rebounding into the mid 20s.  Westerly winds will increase slightly into the 10 to 15 mph range along the mid elevation ridges with stronger gusts in the 30s and 40s at the more exposed locations.  Wednesday looks similar then winds shift more south and increase on Thursday ahead of what looks like a pretty good snow storm for us.

GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> The Banff Mountain Film Festival will be held at Kingsbury Hall tonight and Wednesday.  Tickets are $7.50 per show and available at Kingsbury Hall, Art-Tix, the Salt Lake and Sandy REI stores, and the Outdoor Recreation Program at the U of U.  Shows start at 7pm each night.  (CLICK FOR DETAILS)

 

Yesterday, the Wasatch Powderbird Guides didn’t get out and today will be in Cardiff, Days, Silver, Grizzly, American Fork, Snake Creek and possibly White Pine.  With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.

uac@avalanche.org (uac@avalanche.org). (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.Evelyn Lees will update this advisory by 7:30 on Wednesday morning, and thanks for calling.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
February 21, 2007 - 6:59 am
SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  Back off the steep stuff – if the close calls continue, someone else is going to get killed or hurt.  The avalanche danger remains CONSIDERABLE on slopes steeper than about 35 degrees facing northwest through northeast through southeast, where dangerous avalanches 1 to 3 feet deep can be triggered by people.  The danger is also CONSIDERABLE on any steep slope with recent drifts of wind blown snow.  Natural avalanches are possible on steep wind drifted slopes and steep sunny slopes.

Forecaster: Evelyn Lees LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
It is a warm, blustery morning in the mountains.  10,000’ temperatures are in the mid 20’s, 15 to 20 degrees warmer than yesterday morning.  The southwesterly winds have been cranking in the 20 to 25 mph range with gusts to 45, with the windiest locations gusting in the 50’s to 60.  Turning and riding conditions are excellent on shady, wind sheltered low angle slopes, and the sunny slopes have crusts that will soften with daytime heating.


RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES Yesterday was another day full of close calls in the backcountry, with four dangerous human triggered avalanches and one natural.  On east facing High Ivory in Cardiff Fork, the third skier on the slope triggered 300’ wide hard slab, on southeast facing Raymond shoulder a skier triggered a 1-2’ deep slide, a hard slab was triggered out of bounds near the top of Millicent lift on a northwest facing slope, and an intentional cornice drop in West Monitor triggered small slide that then stepped down, 5-8' deep x 150' wide.  Mid day, a NATURAL ran on Gobblers, 700' off top, 150' wide, running 800 vertical into a gully. In addition, there were both natural and human triggered wet loose slides on steep sunny slopes and numerous reports of collapses. With good visibility, there were reports of substantial natural activity that occurred Monday from Ogden to Provo.  Photos are posted on our photo page.  Details will be posted on the avalanche list page later this morning.  

AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs Persistent, unrelenting…the weak layer of sugary facets and surface hoar is here to stay. The continuing string of dangerous human triggered slides on this deep faceted weak layer proves there are still many places a person can trigger a slide, and that the weak layer remains sensitive for days after each storm or wind loading event.  The pattern is complicated and tricky, and no one’s got x-ray vision to look into the snowpack and figure out which slope may slide, and which won’t.  The best bet is to go for the great turning and riding conditions on low angle slopes.  Any shallow slide triggered has the potential to step down to these faceted weak layers, for a deeper, more dangerous slide. 

WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs Wind slabs and wet avalanches.  The strong southwesterly winds will create new, sensitive drifts of wind blown snow today, most widespread along the ridgelines and on slopes with an easterly component.  But watch for and avoid drifts cross loaded onto other aspects and around sub ridges and breakovers well off the ridgelines due to the high wind speeds.  With another day of warm temperatures and lots of sun, expect easily triggered and natural wet loose sluffs and slabs, and increased sensitivity of even the dry cold snow slabs.

MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS Today’s weather will continue to add to the avalanche problems.  The southwesterly winds will remain in the 15 to 25 mph range, with gusts to 40 along most ridges.  The highest terrain will have gusts into the 50’s.  Skies will be clear and sunny, and temperatures warm, in the upper 30’s at 8,000’ and the mid 20’s at 10,000’.  On Thursday, the winds will strengthen substantially ahead of an approaching cold front, which should reach northern Utah Friday morning.  A foot or more of new snow is possible by Saturday morning.

GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> Tonight is the last night of the Banff Mountain Film Festival at Kingsbury Hall.  Tickets are $7.50 and available at Kingsbury Hall, Art-Tix, the Salt Lake and Sandy REI stores, and the Outdoor Recreation Program at the U of U.  The show starts at 7pm.  (CLICK FOR DETAILS)

Yesterday, the Wasatch Powderbird Guides flew in Cardiff, Silver, Grizzley, American Fork and Snake Creek.  Today they will be in Cardiff, Days, Silver, Grizzly, American Fork, Snake Creek and possibly White Pine.  With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.

Listen to the advisory.  Try our new streaming audio or podcastsUDOT highway avalanche control work info can be found HERE or by calling (801) 975-4838. Our statewide tollfree line is 1-888-999-4019 (early morning, option 8).For a list of avalanche classes, click HEREFor our classic text advisory click HERE.To sign up for automated e-mails of our graphical advisory click HEREWe appreciate all the great snowpack and avalanche observations we’ve been getting, so keep leaving us messages at (801) 524-5304 or 1-800-662-4140, or email us at uac@avalanche.org. (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.Bruce Tremper will update this advisory by 7:30 on Thursday morning, and thanks for calling.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
February 23, 2007 - 7:09 am
SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  An AVALANCHE WARNING remains in affect for the mountains of Utah.  Recent winds with more snow on the way is contributing to a HIGH avalanche danger.  People without expert level avalanche assessment and route finding skills should stay out of the backcountry today and through the weekend.  Slopes of 30 degrees in steepness or greater especially on north through southeast facing aspects should be avoided.  Stay out from underneath these steep slopes as well since the avalanches will be getting bigger and running farther.  Forecaster: Brett Kobernik LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
Yesterday was the 13th day in a row with human triggered avalanches and my money is on……ah, forget it.  Look, conditions are scary!  You can trigger a deadly avalanche today, tomorrow, the next day, etc.  Strong southwest winds make the weather headlines from yesterday.  They’ve been strong for a period of over 24 hours now.  Temperatures are dropping and are around 20 degrees in the 8000 to 9000 foot range.  Heavy snowfall started falling around 4am and has been snowing in the 3 inch an hour range for the past couple of hours!!  Snowbird had 6 inches already at 6 am in the village.
RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES The body of an avalanche victim on Gobblers Knob was recovered yesterday.  (For details, click the Accidents link on the left)  The avalanche that killed him was around 250 feet wide, 1 to 2 feet deep and ran around 6-800 feet vertical.  He was killed from trauma.

Other activity from yesterday included natural avalanching from the recent winds overloading lee slopes.  (Kessler) (Naturals in the Uintas)  A backcountry snowboarder remotely triggered an avalanche 2 ½ feet deep and 75 to 100 feet wide from a safe distance away.  Two other human triggered avalanches were reported from the Bountiful area mountains.  (Click the Photos link on the right)

AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs If you do feel the need to test your avalanche assessment skills today the first thing to keep in mind are the recent strong winds.  This has transported snow into fresh drifts that were cracking out yesterday.  These, however, are the least of your worries.

WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs Overloading of the very weak basal snowpack layers is by far the biggest concern.  Avalanching on this layer continues.  Did I already mention 13 days in a row of people triggering large and dangerous avalanches.  DON’T SCREW AROUND WITH IT!  Winds will have overloaded some slopes or just pushed them that much closer to the brink.  Additional weight from today’s expected snow will compound the problem.

MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS Snow is falling and will continue for most of the day before tapering off this evening some time.  Most mountain locations in northern Utah should see 6 to 12 inches of snow and areas favored by a northwest flow could be into the 16 to 20 inch range by the time it’s finished.  Up to an inch of water weight or a bit better could be added to the snowpack.  We’ll see a break for Saturday which has me quite concerned that this will entice people into dangerous areas.  I would not be surprised to see another avalanche fatality on Saturday.  PEOPLE……try your best to control your hunger for fresh snow.  Another fairly decent storm is expected Sunday. GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> Yesterday, the Wasatch Powderbird Guides did not fly due to wind and will not fly today.  With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.

uac@avalanche.org (uac@avalanche.org). (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.Evelyn Lees will update this advisory by 7:30 on Saturday morning, and thanks for calling.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
February 24, 2007 - 7:03 am
SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  An AVALANCHE WARNING remains in affect for the mountains of Utah.  Strong winds and snow have continued the CONSIDERABLE to HIGH avalanche danger, with 4 avalanche fatalities in Utah in the past week.  Unsurvivable avalanches 2 to 4 feet deep can be triggered by people on slopes of about 35 degrees or steeper, or remotely triggered from adjacent terrain or below.  People without expert level avalanche assessment, route finding skills and the discipline to remain on low angle terrain should stay out of the backcountry today.

Special announcement:  If conditions permit, UDOT will do avalanche control work in the Kessler and Argenta slide paths of Big Cottonwood Canyon today.  Please avoid backcountry travel in these areas.  In Little Cottonwood, early morning control work above the highway should be completed around 7:30 am.

Forecaster: Evelyn Lees LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
The storm is winding down, with a few lingering snow showers in the Cottonwoods.  Storm totals in the Ogden, Provo and parts of the Cottonwoods are generally around 10”, with up to an inch of water.  However, upper Little Cottonwood, enjoying the northwest flow, easily double that number, coming with 26” of snow and 1.34” of water.  Overnight the northwesterly winds blew in the 15 to 25 mph range, with gusts in the 30’s.  Across the highest terrain, 30 to 40 mph averages were common, with gusts to 60.  Winds have gradually decreased over the past few hours, and averages are less than 20 mph this morning.  Temperatures have dropped into the single digits at 10,000’.


RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES Limited observations came in from the backcountry yesterday, due to poor visibility and the commendable common sense that kept most travelers in low angle terrain. There were reports of sensitive sluffing and a few soft slabs in the new snow.  Cornices and drifts were becoming increasingly sensitive late in the day as the winds increased. 

AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs New snow avalanches, both sluffs and soft slabs, will be easy to trigger today, especially on steep wind drifted slopes and in areas that received the most snow.  The wind drifts will be most widespread along the ridgelines, and on slopes facing east through south.  But watch out for and avoid new and hidden old drifts on any steep slope, including off ridgelines around breakovers and around terrain features.  Any slide triggered in the new snow has the potential to step down and break into deeper weak layers, resulting in a deeper and wider more dangerous slide.  Cornices are sensitive, breaking back further than normal.  Direct sun later today has the potential to trigger loose sluffs with heating on steep, sunny slopes.

WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs Even more dangerous are slides breaking on the deeply buried facets.  A series of Wasatch storms with 3 to 6” of water in the past 2 weeks has landed on top of a Colorado like snowpack of weak facets and surface hoar, and the two don’t mix.   It is getting harder to trigger slides on these facets, but once triggered these slides will be deeper, wider, and most likely unsurvivable.   Recent southwest to northwesterly winds have heavily loaded slopes facing the east side of the compass, and the danger is greatest on the aspects.  It is possible to remotely trigger avalanches from adjacent slopes or below.

MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS A ridge of high pressure will build over the region today, with a fast moving pacific weather disturbance approaching tonight.  Today, skies will be partly cloudy to mostly sunny.  The northwesterly winds will continue to decrease, and generally be in the 5 to 15 mph range, with gusts to 30 across the highest peaks.  Temperatures today will reach the low 20’s at 8,000’ and remain in the single digits at 10,000’.  Increasing clouds and southwesterly winds tonight, with 4 to 8” of snow possible by Sunday night.

GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> Yesterday, the Wasatch Powderbird Guides did not fly due to weather and if they can fly today, they will be in Silver, Cardiff, Days, Grizzly, White Pine, American Fork and Snake Creek.  With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.

uac@avalanche.org (uac@avalanche.org). (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.Drew Hardesty will update this advisory by 7:30 on Sunday morning, and thanks for calling.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
February 27, 2007 - 7:15 am
SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  The avalanche danger is on the rise today.  Currently, many slopes have a CONSIDERABLE danger but they will quickly go to a HIGH danger especially on north through south east facing slopes.  Those without expert level route finding skills should avoid backcountry travel today. Forecaster: Brett Kobernik LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
Winds picked up overnight from the southwest and are gusting to near 30 at the mid elevation ridges and around 60 at the higher locations.  Temperatures are in the low to mid 20s in the 8 to 10,000 foot range.  Snow is starting to move into mountain locations mainly north of I-80 currently.
RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES There was no shortage of avalanche activity from yesterday with both natural and human triggered avalanches.  Most of the natural activity happened early Monday morning.  Notable slides included one in Silver Fork that was near 4 feet deep and 300 feet wide, one east of Claytons Peak that was reported to be quite deep and wide breaking into old snow, and one in West Monitor which was around 200 feet wide but only involved the most recent snow.  (PHOTOS)

Avalanche control work produced results within the new snow yesterday and at least one slide that relates to backcountry conditions quite well.  Snow safety workers produced an avalanche 4 to 5 feet deep in MacDonald’s Draw with one shot from an avalauncher to protect residential housing below the slope.  (PHOTO)  (Click on the photos link on the left for a few more shots from Monday.)

One more avalanche that you should take note of was remotely triggered by skiers returning to Mineral Fork in Big Cottonwood for a second day.  The avalanche released 3 feet deep and around 200 feet wide taking out their tracks from the previous day.

The common theme with slides breaking into old snow is a northeast aspect above about 8500 feet.

AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs The first thing you need to watch for today if you are venturing into the backcountry is fresh drifts from the current southwest winds.  This will load mostly east and northeast facing slopes but the winds are quite strong even at lower elevations and the mountainous terrain will surely channel them in many different directions.  This means keep an eye out on all slopes for recent drifting. WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs The next thing you need to be concerned with is the winds and new snow overloading the deeper weak layers.  North, northeast and east facing slopes are the most suspect but watch for large deposits of snow on any slope that has weak underlying snow.  These slides are quite a bit larger then the new snow avalanches and have much greater consequences if you are caught in one.  Experts are still taking a conservative approach to recreation in the backcountry. MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS Strong southwest winds will continue for a good portion of the day and we’re expecting 6 to 12 inches of snow in most locations with more possible in the Cottonwoods.  Around an inch of water weight is expected to be added to the snowpack.  Mountain temperatures will be in the upper teens to low 20s.  It looks like we’ll see chances for snow over the next few days. GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> The Wasatch Powderbird Guides didn’t get out yesterday and will be grounded today due to weather.  With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.

Listen to the advisory.  Try our new streaming audio or podcastsUDOT highway avalanche control work info can be found HERE or by calling (801) 975-4838. Our statewide tollfree line is 1-888-999-4019 (early morning, option 8).For a list of avalanche classes, click HEREFor our classic text advisory click HERE.To sign up for automated e-mails of our graphical advisory click HEREWe appreciate all the great snowpack and avalanche observations we’ve been getting, so keep leaving us messages at (801) 524-5304 or 1-800-662-4140, or email us at uac@avalanche.org. (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.Evelyn Lees will update this advisory by 7:30 on Wednesday morning, and thanks for calling.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
February 28, 2007 - 7:04 am
SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  Bottom Line for the Salt Lake, Park City, Provo and Ogden area mountains:  The avalanche warning has expired.  However, a CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger remains on slopes of about 35 degrees or steeper, especially those facing northwest through northeast through southeast above about 8,000’. CONSIDERABLE means human triggered slides are probable.  Both new snow slides and deep, unsurvivable slides breaking to the ground can be triggered by people.  People without excellent route finding and avalanche skills should avoid backcountry travel today.  If you want to hit the steep slopes, go to a resort.  High marking is NOT recommonded.

Forecaster: Evelyn Lees LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
The February snow machine is taking a short breather this morning, before clouds increase again this afternoon and initiate another round of snow. Temperatures are in the single digits to just below zero this morning. Winds are very light, generally 5 mph, with gusts to 10. Even the highest peaks only have gusts to 20 mph. Snow totals from yesterday’s short, intense storm came in just under a foot at most locations. Adding up numbers, 30 to 50 inches of snow have fallen in the past week, making trail breaking tough.


RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES Today will be good for sightseeing.  With a window of late afternoon visibility, reports included: 100% of South Monitor avalanched naturally, 1/3 to ½ a mile wide, up to 10’ deep. A 900’ wide section of West Monitor went out to the ground, and a “pocket” 8’ deep and 60’ wide avalanched in No Name. Another natural 2-3’ deep by 100’ wide was observed in Thomas Fork. In the Ogden area mountains, there was a very close call in Hells Canyon, when a person triggered a new snow slide about a foot deep on a steep, northeast facing slope at about 8,700’. He went for the ride of his life, 1,300’ vertical, was buried up to his eyeballs with a hand sticking out, and walked away uninjured. The new snow was very sensitive, reactive to ski cuts and explosives, with some natural activity observed.

AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs Today the new snow will still be sensitive on steep slopes, with easily triggered sluffs and soft slabs, especially where wind drifted. The drifts will be most widespread on east and northeast facing slopes, but yesterday’s strong southwesterly winds will have also drifted snow well off the ridgelines and cross loaded it onto other aspects. Any slide initiating in the new snow has the potential to break down into deeper weak layers, taking out several storms worth of snow or even to the ground.

WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs Yesterday’s natural activity indicates that once again the weak facets near the ground have been overloaded to the point of failing. A person can trigger an unsurvivable slide to the ground in a shallow spot. Slides breaking into the old snow can be triggered remotely from a distance, from below, and are most likely on slopes facing northwest through northeast through southeast. Deep avalanches could occur at lower elevations, below 8,500’.

MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS A broad upper trough will keep cold and unstable air over the area today. Skies will be partly clear this morning, with clouds increasing this afternoon and light snow showers developing. The northerly winds will be light, in the 5 to 10 mph range. Even the most exposed locations will only have gusts to only 25 mph. Temperatures will be in the teens at 8,000’ and the single digits at 10,000’. The next disturbance will bring periods of snow through Friday, with total accumulations of up to 2’ of low density fluff.

GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> The Wasatch Powderbird Guides didn’t get out yesterday and today will be in Cardiff, Days, Silver, Grizzly and American Fork. With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.

Listen to the advisory.  Try our new streaming audio or podcastsUDOT highway avalanche control work info can be found HERE or by calling (801) 975-4838. Our statewide tollfree line is 1-888-999-4019 (early morning, option 8).For a list of avalanche classes, click HEREFor our classic text advisory click HERE.To sign up for automated e-mails of our graphical advisory click HEREWe appreciate all the great snowpack and avalanche observations we’ve been getting, so keep leaving us messages at (801) 524-5304 or 1-800-662-4140, or email us at uac@avalanche.org. (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.Bruce Tremper will update this advisory by 7:30 on Thursday morning, and thanks for calling.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
March 1, 2007 - 7:27 am
SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  Today we will have a CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger on any slope approaching 35 degrees or steeper with recent deposits of wind blown snow.   There is also a lingering  CONSIDERABLE danger on slopes 35 degrees or steeper, facing northwest, north, northeast, east and southeast above about 8,000’.  Considerable danger means human triggered slides are probable.  Both new snow slides and deep, unsurvivable slides breaking to the ground can be triggered by people.  People without excellent avalanche skills should avoid backcountry travel today.  Today is another good day for a ski resort.  High marking is not recommended.  The avalanche danger may rise to HIGH tonight and on Friday.

Forecaster: Bruce Tremper LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
Our apologies.  The Internet-based advisory is late this morning because of computer network problems at the National Weather ServiceAbout 4 inches of new snow fell overnight and you will want your down coat, mittens and face mask today because the ridge top temperatures are between zero and 5 degrees with a stiff west-northwest wind blowing 20 gusting to 40 along most of the ridge tops and 40 gusting to 60 on the most exposed peaks.  We’re expecting snow for most of today, tonight and Friday morning.


RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES Yesterday Evelyn suggested that everyone do some sightseeing to marvel at some of the huge, natural avalanches that occurred Tuesday.  Sure enough, many folks had a memorable day and they e-mailed us dozens of spectacular photos last night from throughout northern Utah.  It will take me most of the rest of the day to get them posted on our photo page and update our avalanche list.  I will list as many natural avalanches from Tuesday’s storm as I can on our early morning, telephone recording (888-999-4019 option 8).  Although most of the deep, natural, monster-avalanches from the backcountry seem to have subsided, avalanche control from Snowbasin produced three huge, deep, nightmares fracturing to the ground up to 8-15 feet deep and several hundred feet wide.  These were from single shots in the right spot, which theoretically a person could trigger if they tickled the right spot.  Also, yesterday there was a remotely-triggered avalanche in American Fork when the WPG helicopter set down on a ridge top landing zone around 9,500’.  It broke out on an adjacent, steep, north facing slope they never ski and it broke 2-3 feet deep and 200 feet wide into faceted snow. AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs Probably more importantly today, we have new snow with strong wind, which will certainly make sensitive wind slab avalanches on any steep slope with recent wind drifts.  Some of these new snow avalanches have the potential to step down creating larger and more dangerous avalanches especially on north through east facing slopes. WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs When people trigger these large avalanches, they typically do so where the slab is thinner, such as mid slope near rocks, or they drop a big cornice on the slope.  Once it starts ripping, it can propagate into deep, hard layers making very large avalanches.  The problem exists mostly on slopes that face the north or east quadrants of the compass.  Once again, these big mommas may be hard to trigger but if you do, it’s definitely the nuclear option. MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS The mountains should continue to get snow throughout the day with another 4-8 inches, probably intensifying by mid day or afternoon.  Ridge top winds will continue to blow 25 from the west and northwest with gusts to 40.  On the highest, most exposed peaks, winds will blow 35 gusting to 55.  Ridge top temperatures will be chilly, around 5 degrees.  Snow should end later on Friday but the winds will pick up and blow harder.  The extended forecast calls for a warm and sunny weekend with the chance for another storm on about Wednesday. GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> The Wasatch Powderbird Guides flew yesterday in Cardiff, Days, Silver, Grizzly and American Fork and they will not be able to get out today due to weather.  With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.

uac@avalanche.org (uac@avalanche.org). (Fax 801-524-6301) The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
March 2, 2007 - 6:44 am
AVALANCHE WARNING!!! >>>
Avalanche Warning:  An Avalanche Warning has been issued for the Wasatch and Western Uinta mountains of northern Utah.  Heavy snow and strong winds have created a HIGH avalanche danger, with both natural and human triggered avalanches likely.  An elevated avalanche danger will persist through the weekend.

SPECIAL ANNOUNCEMENT >>> Special Announcements:  UDOT will conduct control work above the highway in Little Cottonwood Canyon today.  The canyon road should open around 8 am, once control work is complete.  UDOT in will conduct control work above the highway in Provo Canyon around mid day, with intermittent road closures.  Ice climbing in Provo Canyon is closed until control work is complete.

SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  Today there is a HIGH avalanche danger on any slope approaching 35 degrees or steeper with recent deposits of dense, wind blown snow, especially slopes facing northwest, north, northeast, east and southeast above about 8,000’.  High danger means both human triggered and natural avalanches are likely.  Both new snow slides and deep, unsurvivable slides breaking to the ground can be triggered by people.  People without excellent avalanche skills should avoid backcountry travel today. 

Forecaster: Evelyn Lees LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
One last storm is capping off a very active 3 weeks.  Waves of heavy snowfall yesterday and last night have snow totals pushing 20” in many areas of the Salt Lake, Ogden, Park City and Provo mountains.  The northwesterly winds have been averaging 15 to 25 mph at many stations, with gusts in the 30’s and 40’s.  Across the highest peaks, hourly averages have been in the 40’s and gusts in the 60’s.  With temperatures in the single digits, it’s going to be another viciously cold day until the winds die down.


RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES Yesterday’s reports from the backcountry were of easily triggered sluffs and one to two foot deep soft slabs up to 100’ wide in wind affected terrain and along ridgelines.  Cornices were very sensitive, breaking far back onto the ridges. With the poor visibility, strong winds and a rotten snow pack, no one was sticking their necks out. 

AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs Today, both natural and human triggered new snow slides will be likely on steep slopes with recent drifts of wind blown snow.  I suspect a new snow natural avalanche cycle has and is occurring on steep, heavily wind drifted slopes, so avoid travel beneath steep slopes.  Today, it will be easy for people to trigger the new wind drifts, which will be both along and well off the ridgelines.  Cornices are very sensitive, and will break back much further than expected, onto the flat ridgelines.  Any avalanche triggered in the new snow has the potential to step down, taking out several storms worth of snow or even to the ground, creating a deep, dangerous slide. 

WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs With another load of snow, once again it will be possible for both natural and human triggered slides to occur on the deeply buried facets near the ground.  These deep, dangerous slides will be more likely in the shallower snow pack areas outside of the upper Cottonwoods, on slopes facing northwest through northeast through southeast, and can be triggered remotely from a distance.   Any slide breaking near the ground will be unsurvivable.  Lower elevations have their share of this weak basal snow, so avoid steep slopes at the mid and low elevations, too.

MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS A cold front is working its way south across the area, producing intense snow and strong winds.  An additional 5 to 10” of snow is possible today.  As the front passes, the snow will turn showery and gradually taper off midday.  The strong, northwesterly high elevation winds will also decrease this afternoon.   Temperatures will be frigid, in the teens at 8,000’ and the low single digits at 10,000’, putting the wind chill at about -15.  The weekend forecast calls for clearing skies and temperatures rapidly warming to near freezing at 10,000’ by Sunday.

GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> The Wasatch Powderbird Guides did not fly yesterday and will not fly again today due to weather.  With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.

uac@avalanche.org (uac@avalanche.org). (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.Brett Kobernik will update this advisory by 7:30 on Saturday morning, and thanks for calling.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
March 3, 2007 - 7:14 am
SPECIAL ANNOUNCEMENT >>> I’ve issued a special avalanche advisory for the western Uinta and Wasatch mountains of northern Utah for the weekend.  Recent heavy snow and strong winds have overloaded a weak snowpack, creating a CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger.  Human triggered avalanches are probable on steep slopes.  People should avoid steep slopes and areas below steep slopes throughout the weekend.  People without good avalanche and route finding skills should avoid backcountry travel.

UDOT will conduct control work above the highway in Big Cottonwood Canyon this morning with a road closure from 7:45 to 8:15 am.  The canyon road will re-open quickly pending no avalanches hitting the road which would then need to be cleared.

The Canyons snow safety workers will be doing control work in MacDonalds Draw this morning from around 8 to 10am.  Backcountry travelers should avoid this area until the work is complete.

SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE today on slopes of about 35 degrees and steeper especially on north through east facing aspects.  Direct sun on the southerly aspects may be enough to initiate some natural avalanches.  If you do not have expert level snowpack analysis skills along with advanced route finding knowledge, we urge you to stay out of the backcountry today.  Again, the consequences are high if you trigger an avalanche that breaks into old snow.

Forecaster: Brett Kobernik LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
The storm cleared out mid day yesterday and gave us a view of a fairly impressive natural avalanche cycle that occurred late Thursday night into early Friday morning.  Temperatures remained cold during the day and really dropped off overnight down to around zero at many locations.  The winds continued to slow yesterday and are now in the 5 to 10 mph range with gusts to around 30 at the more exposed locations.


RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES Most of the natural avalanche activity was reported from the Salt Lake area mountains.  (Click the photos and avalanche list links on the left for more)  I’m sure as people venture out today we’ll hear about more natural avalanches that ran in the Ogden and Provo areas as well.  Significant slides that broke wide and deep were in Days Draw which is in Days Fork, the Silver Fork headwall, Mill B South, Broads Fork, and Mill D North west of Desolation Lake.  UDOT control work produced large avalanches that hit the road in Little Cottonwood Canyon and a large one in Provo Canyon that didn’t reach the road.  The new snow was sensitive to slope cuts yesterday morning as well. 

AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs No need to get technical this morning, all you need to know is that consequences are HIGH if you trigger one of these monsters.  A sunny Saturday with lots of fresh snow and a weak snowpack is a disaster waiting to happen.  Don’t let the lure of fresh powder override your otherwise good decision making.  What’s tricky is that things are not hair trigger and you may not experience cracking or collapsing which usually is an indicator of unstable snow.  This may give you false confidence and lure you into steep slopes.  North through east facing slopes are still VERY suspect. 

WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 8 hrs Also, we’re getting into the time of the season when we need to watch southerly facing slopes in regards to the sun heating them and initiating avalanches.  Fresh snow, like we have right now, is very sensitive to any direct solar radiation.  While temperatures will remain fairly cool today, clear skies and the sun high in the ski is enough that we need to monitor the snow on the south aspects. MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS We’ll see mostly clear skies with a few clouds during the day today.  Ridgetop temperatures will be in the upper teens to mid 20s.  Things may feel warmer in the direct sun.  Northerly winds will pick up slightly and blow in the 5 to 15 mph range with gusts into the 30s at the more exposed locations.  A ridge of high pressure continues to move our way which will warm temperatures more on Sunday. GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> The Wasatch Powderbird Guides did not fly yesterday and will be in Cardiff, Days, Silver, Grizzly, White Pine, American Fork and Snake Creek today.  With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.

 

uac@avalanche.org (uac@avalanche.org). (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.Drew Hardesty will update this advisory by 7:30 on Sunday morning, and thanks for calling.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
March 6, 2007 - 7:19 am
SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  We’ll have pockets of CONSIDERABLE danger on slopes approaching 35 degrees and steeper on the west through north through southeast aspects.  There will be a MODERATE danger of loose wet avalanching on the southerly facing slopes.  There is also a MODERATE danger of a slab avalanche on the southerly facing slopes.  Remember, these slab avalanches are nothing to toy with. Forecaster: Brett Kobernik LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
Under mostly clear skies this morning ridgetop temperatures below about 10,000’ are right around or just above freezing and winds are light from the west.  Higher elevations and valley bottoms dropped into the mid 20s overnight.
RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES Warmer temperatures changed the dry powder into damp snow on all but the north aspects above around 8500 feet or higher.  While some areas didn’t get below freezing last night the snow surface will have a thin refreeze just from outgoing radiation.

Human triggered slab avalanching continued on Monday with a slab remotely triggered from skiers on Murdock Peak.  The slide was 3 feet deep, 100 feet wide and ran around 500 feet into trees on a northwest aspect.  We also have more information about human triggered avalanches over the weekend.  Two snowmobilers had very close calls in two separate incidents.  One was in the Western Uintas and one was in the Bountiful mountains.  Both triggered sizeable slides that broke into old snow with crowns in the 3 to 5 foot deep range.  I went and looked at another slide that broke into old snow and snapped off at least one tree 6 inches in diameter was in Soldier Fork.  It was more then likely remotely triggered from skiers on an up track.  (Click the photos link on the left for photos.)

AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs If I were going into the mountains today my main concern is the continued chance to pop out a deep slide into old snow.  Many observers are reporting more stable conditions but I notice not many of them are center punching big, steep northeast facing slopes that haven’t avalanched yet.  These slopes are still suspect in my opinion. WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 8 hrs Heating will again be a concern for today.  Temperatures won’t be as warm today as yesterday but it will be another day for the snowpack to absorb warm temperatures.  Southerly facing slopes will become damp again and wet activity is possible but shouldn’t produce a widespread natural cycle.  The warmer temperatures and gravity will continue to tug on the thick slab over weak snow.  It’s hard to gauge or quantify just what is happening in this process but just knowing an already volatile slab is getting affected by the warmth is enough to leave it be for a bit. MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS Today we’ll see partly cloudy skies with ridgetop temperatures a few degrees cooler then yesterday.  They’ll be in the mid 30s along the ridgetops.  Winds will generally be light from the west.  GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> Announcements:

The Wasatch Powderbird Guides flew in the Cardiff, American Fork, Grizzly and Lambs yesterday and will be in Cardiff, Days, Silver, Grizzly, White Pine, American Fork and the Sessions today.  With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.

uac@avalanche.org (uac@avalanche.org). (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.Evelyn Lees will update this advisory by 7:30 on Wednesday morning, and thanks for calling.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
March 7, 2007 - 7:02 am
SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  The avalanche danger is MODERATE on slopes of about 35 degrees and steeper, with heat related wet loose sluffs and a few slab avalanches possible.  There are pockets of CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger on slopes facing northwest through northeast through southeast, where it is still possible to trigger a deeper, dangerous avalanche on the weak facets near the ground.  These will be most likely in drainages with a thin, weak snowpack or in rocky, shallow snowpack areas.

Forecaster: Evelyn Lees LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
It’s been another warm, clear night in the mountains.  Temperatures in the mid twenties to low thirties this morning, with a band of mid elevation stations stubbornly remaining just above freezing.  Winds shifted to the southwest overnight, and are blowing lightly in the 5 to 10 mph range, with only the highest peaks gusting to 20 mph.  Snow surface conditions include dry powder above about 9,000’ on northerly facing slopes, with all other aspects and elevations crusted early, then softening rapidly with daytime heating. 


RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES Yesterday’s reported avalanche activity was heat related – glide cracks widening, cornices breaking back further than expected, and a decent size wet, loose natural slide on a southeast facing slope in the Provo area mountains.

AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 11 hrs With a fourth day of warm temperatures, expect continuing heat related avalanche activity today.  Wet, loose sluffs can be triggered, with a few natural sluffs possible.  Cornices will break back further than expected or spontaneously drop off, and glide cracks on slopes underlain by smooth rock will widen and may fail.  If high, thin clouds move in with the right timing this afternoon, the snow on the northerly facing slopes will also heat up, with loose sluffs possible on mid and low elevation shady slopes.  

WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs The second avalanche problem is caused by the weak facets sitting near the ground.  Large slab avalanches failing on this weak layer peaked Friday and Saturday, but there are still isolated places where a person could trigger one of these deep, dangerous slides.  It would be in a shallow or rocky snow pack area, but once failing could pull out wider into deeper snow.  The continuing warm temperatures are contributing to this problem, and an isolated natural slab avalanche or two is possible today.

MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS The high pressure ridge will be replaced by a moist westerly flow tonight through Saturday, with a series of weak weather disturbances moving through.  Skies will be clear this morning, with increasing clouds this afternoon.  High temperatures will be in the mid 40’s at 8,000’ and near freezing at 10,000’.  The southwesterly winds will slowly increase into the 10 to 15 mph range, with gusts to 25 to 30 mph.  The first disturbance will bring a few inches of snow tonight into tomorrow, with snow levels dropping from near 8,000’ tonight down to 6,500 on Thursday.  The next best chance for a few inches of snow will be Friday night into Saturday.

GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> The Wasatch Powderbird Guides flew in the Cardiff, White Pine, and American Fork yesterday and will be in Cardiff, Mineral, Days, Silver, Grizzly, and American Fork today.  With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.

Listen to the advisory.  Try our new streaming audio or podcastsUDOT highway avalanche control work info can be found HERE or by calling (801) 975-4838. Our statewide tollfree line is 1-888-999-4019 (early morning, option 8).For a list of avalanche classes, click HEREFor our classic text advisory click HERE.To sign up for automated e-mails of our graphical advisory click HEREWe appreciate all the great snowpack and avalanche observations we’ve been getting, so keep leaving us messages at (801) 524-5304 or 1-800-662-4140, or email us at uac@avalanche.org. (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.Bruce Tremper will update this advisory by 7:30 on Thursday morning, and thanks for calling.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
March 8, 2007 - 6:16 am
SUMMARY >>> Danger by
  ASPECT & ELEVATION
BOTTOM LINE
on slopes over 35 degrees
  The avalanche danger is MODERATE on slopes of about 35 degrees and steeper on slopes facing the north and east quadrants of the compass with a LOW danger elsewhere.    You can most likely trigger avalanches on slopes with a thin, weak snowpack or in rocky, shallow snowpack areas.  Any avalanches triggered will be large and dangerous.

Forecaster: Bruce Tremper LINKS: -Danger scale- -Encyclopedia- -Text only-     CURRENT CONDITIONS >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO: NWS SNOW PAGESNOTEL MAP
After another very warm day yesterday, a weak disturbance moved through overnight dropping 4 inches of dense snow in the upper Cottonwood Canyons with closer to 2 inches elsewhere.  The rain-snow line started out up around 9,000’ and has dropped to 7,500’.  Ridge top temperatures have dropped to 22 degrees, which is 7 degrees cooler than yesterday morning.Snow surface conditions include some nice, creamy, settled powder on the upper elevation shady slopes but various sun crusts on other aspects and wet, manky snow at lower elevations.


RECENT AVALANCHES AND SNOWPACK INFO >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
AVALANCHE LISTPHOTOSACCIDENTSSNOW PROFILES Just a few wet, point-release sluffs yesterday near rock bands.  It has been three days since we have heard about any natural or human triggered avalanches from the backcountry.  (We’re still posting more PHOTOS of avalanches that occurred during the past cycle.)  AVALANCHE CONCERNS >>> WHERE PROBABILITY SIZE TREND Likely
  Unlikely Large  
Small Increasing
Danger
Same Decreasing
Danger
over the next 24 hrs With the exception of some localized, wet sluffs from rock bands in the heat of the afternoon yesterday, it has been three days since we heard about any human-triggered or natural avalanches from the backcountry.  Part of that may be because of the lack of people in the mountains, but we’re hoping that our month-long problems with monster, deep avalanches are finally subsiding.  The small amount of new snow overnight probably isn’t enough to affect avalanche conditions much.  However, the cooler temperatures will help to reduce the shear stress on deeply-buried weak layers of depth hoar now buried 3-5 feet deep in many places.   It has been about a month since the overall danger rating has crept below Considerable, but with cooler temperatures, I think today is the day to finally move the arrow to Moderate.Realize, though, that this is what has sometimes been called a “scary moderate”.  Danger ratings come from three factors, 1) distribution of the danger, 2) the sensitivity to triggers and 3) the expected size of the avalanche.  Although human-triggered potential is fairly localized, and avalanches may be difficult to trigger, avalanches will still be very large and dangerous.  I suppose two out of three isn’t so bad, but I’m still being a scardie cat on many of those big, steep slopes that did not slide during the last couple storms.

MOUNTAIN WEATHER >>> LINKS TO MORE INFO
UAC COMPILATION
NWS ZONAL FORECAST
SEASONAL Wx CHARTS We should have a few more light snow showers until about noon and the rain-snow line should drop to around 7,000’.  Ridge top temperatures will be in the mid 20’s with 8,000’ temperatures in the mid to upper 30’s.  Ridge top winds should remain fairly reasonable at around 20 mph from the west.  Friday, we should slowly return to warmer temperatures with mostly sunny skies.The extended forecast calls for a few clouds for the weekend but then sunny, warm weather for most of the rest of the week.

GENERAL ANNOUNCEMENTS >>> Yesterday, the Wasatch Powderbird Guides flew in Silver and Cardiff and today they will be in Cardiff, Days, Silver, and American Fork.  With questions regarding their areas of operation call 742-2800.

uac@avalanche.org (uac@avalanche.org). (Fax 801-524-6301)The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content.  This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.I will update this advisory by 7:30 on Friday morning, and thanks for calling.

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
This advisory provided by the Wasatch Cache National Forest, in partnership with:  Utah Division of State Parks and Recreation, The Friends of the Utah Avalanche Center, Utah Department of Emergency Services and Homeland Security and Salt Lake County


The post was created using an automated process maintained by First Tracks! Online.
 
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