Jay Peak Season Total Snow Fall

riverc0il

New member
Just wanted to call Jay Peak out again for the second year in a row for using early season pre-opening already melted snow in their season total. Jay Peak is currently reporting in a season total of 21". I respect that number as an accurate statistic, perhaps even a little low, and I really enjoyed skiing all that natural. But it has all melted and Jay Peak has not opened yet, so it is kind of irritating to see the number in the seasonal total. Does Jay Peak really need to pad their stats? Just remember to subtract 21 inches from that total for the rest of the year ;) Looking forward to picking up my pass tomorrow, may try to grab a run or two on stateside so look for a report. With a projected high of 42 degrees in troy, I gotta guess the guns will get turned off around noon time to allow for snow gun free climbing (hopefully).
 
Don't most resorts calculate YTD snowfall based on a certain date, regardless of how much melts and when? Not that it's not somewhat? deceptive...
 
riverc0il":31dl51b4 said:
Jay Peak is currently reporting in a season total of 21". I respect that number as an accurate statistic, perhaps even a little low, and I really enjoyed skiing all that natural. But it has all melted and Jay Peak has not opened yet, so it is kind of irritating to see the number in the seasonal total.

This is a hard call, although the ski area hasn't opened yet and the snow has already melted. This is a reason why I always take these numbers with a grain of salt. I'm not a snow total specialist so I don't really have an opinion, but I would like to hear what Tony Crocker, our snow totals guru, thinks about the issue. :-k

If you look at the numbers across Upper Vermont and the Eastern Townships, the snow fall numbers for the year don't look so bad, however a lot of that snow melted through a series of thaw and rain events last winter.

That's why I always say that snow retention is more and more a major factor that should be taken into account when looking at snow totals.

Mont Sutton historical data

PS. Last year was a pretty bad year at Sutton, regardless even in the snow totals seem close to average.
 
It doesn't matter when they open...I'll bet they report any snow that falls when people start hiking up to ski it.

Just like they use those pre-lift served days as photo ops.
 
Alta seems to include "before the lifts are running" snowfall in their totals, and based on the thoroughness of their snowfall reporting and data recording, I think of them as one of the standards in the industry.

http://www.alta.com/pages/snowhistory.php

I don't think that snow melting away should really discount it from being counted in the totals, as I bet most ski areas lose the bulk of the September/October snow they may get, and when a ski area actually "opens" is somewhat arbitrary. If a ski area had a big meltdown at mid season for some reason, and somehow lost all of its snow, it would seem strange to totally discount the first half of the season.

Also something to think about is counting snowfall after the lifts stop running.

Different areas will likely choose their own cutoff points for counting snowfall, but I personally like it if they include everything that falls at the reporting station regardless of when the lifts are turning. This gives perhaps the most objective measure of snowfall (not necessarily snowpack of course) and removes the "human element" from the equation a bit. That way you can get the best sense, even if the ski area didn't exist or if you're skiing a backcountry area nearby, what the mountain?s snowfall is typically like.

J.Spin
 
In order to make snowfall totals comparable among areas I try to count Nov. 1 - April 30. For areas without the full six months I project using the data they have plus data for a nearby area with complete six months info. For October I use the same criteria as Nathan Rafferty of Ski Utah: if there's enough snow to open a ski area I count it. Similarly I count May for the short list of areas that stay open the whole month.

In the West Nov. 1 is a reasonable estimate of the point at which fallen snow is not likely to disappear. In the East, with its frequent deluges, that is not a reasonable assumption, but January eastern snow can also be washed away ... I've decided to do snow the same way East as West to be consistent, and if we want to analyze surface conditions, terrain open, etc, that's a different question IMHO.

With regard to Jay Peak, they can quote anything they want as long as they have the informative snow tracker pages online that show day by day incidence of snowfall. These disappeared over the summer, and when I called a month ago I was informed that the webpage was in process of redesign. I will make another call when I get home.
 
Interestingly enough, the Stowe total snowfall for the yr has been reset on their web site. I'm not sure why this is; last week they were reporting 34 inches.
 
fwiw, kmart is reporting a season total of 19". stowe has to get some credibility points for re-setting the counter.
 
Our season totals are, unfortunately, zero. Go here. http://www.jaypeakresort.com/en/jay_peak/253/

I think what was happening was that the snow report page was automatically populating our season-long table. Long story, boring; it's fixed. No subversive intent.

No let's get something to measure here.

riverc0il":1hms253o said:
Just wanted to call Jay Peak out again for the second year in a row for using early season pre-opening already melted snow in their season total. Jay Peak is currently reporting in a season total of 21". I respect that number as an accurate statistic, perhaps even a little low, and I really enjoyed skiing all that natural. But it has all melted and Jay Peak has not opened yet, so it is kind of irritating to see the number in the seasonal total. Does Jay Peak really need to pad their stats? Just remember to subtract 21 inches from that total for the rest of the year ;) Looking forward to picking up my pass tomorrow, may try to grab a run or two on stateside so look for a report. With a projected high of 42 degrees in troy, I gotta guess the guns will get turned off around noon time to allow for snow gun free climbing (hopefully).
 
Also, to add, I spoke with TC today and let him know that the historical tables should be back online by Thursday or Friday. We aren't going to be posting the daily information for previous years, but will be providing monthly breakouts for, I believe, the past decade. Hope this suffices.

steve
 
Steve, nice to see you here -- I hope that you'll regularly fill our readers in on happenings at Jay.
 
The monthly data is fine for the history. For the current season it is useful to have the daily info at both upper and lower locations.
 
cool, word. thanks for popping on and relaying the info on that counter reset. looking forward to those totals going through the roof after these lame early season warm spell is over!
 
Jay Suds":347bxkkr said:
Interestingly enough, the Stowe total snowfall for the yr has been reset on their web site. I'm not sure why this is; last week they were reporting 34 inches.

skiadikt":347bxkkr said:
fwiw, kmart is reporting a season total of 19". stowe has to get some credibility points for re-setting the counter.

They've always only counted snowfall after opening day (in this case, the first opening day). I agree with it and when I was told last year that they've always done this, I then realized why their total was a couple feet less than Jay's...last year's October storm wasn't counted either.
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EDIT here: Steve from Jay if you read this, I've been under the impression that it has happened previous seasons as you have given the monthly snowfall totals from Oct-May usually. I think from a meteorological standpoint, you count every inch. All I know is it is widely accepted that northern VT gets the most snow and from growing up skiing the Adirondacks and my visits to NH, the northern Greens are tops (ie. today...7" new at the Mansfield stake). I bet Jay's in a similar boat.
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In the east, the seasonal total is more for fun, general comparisons of various mountains. More importantly when going skiing are the last 7 days, last 72 or 48 hours, and last 24hrs. We all know that but last year was the perfect example as the last 7 day total starts to grow all the sudden it gets erased for a few days as it thawed. You either had to hit it on the big day following the bullet-proof day that followed the heavy rain day (which I was lucky enough to do), or you had to ski on the last day before a thaw when the new snow totals had grown as high as they were going to go.

Some of you might know this and some of you might not, but my passion for Mount Mansfield and a chance encounter on a lift brought me into the Stowe offices for snow report and weather tasks. They went out of their way to free up marketing money so I could work with them over the summer. Now, I'm not paid and only try to help out when time allows because I like the guys there and they've treated me extremely well. Your views might differ.

I made a few changes to this season's snow report to try and bring some credibility to the report. Changes include the look/organization, 72hr snowfall, natural snow trails average base depths recorded from spots around the resort at various elevations which will give more info than the generic base depths which are 99% snowmaking trails in the east, the Mansfield stake was put in late last season, and since snow report forecasts are usually suspect, that's gone and replaced with the link to the NWS Mt. Mansfield forecast. Since everyone here is a passionate skier or rider, feel free to call bullsh*t on something as my goal is to make people think less of it as a joke but a tool they can use; basically the more info, and a mix of in-house and non-affiliated party info (NWS), the better for skiers and riders. Also, the forecasts I give online are identical to what I pass on to friends over at Mt. Mansfield Company as another consult before/during weather events. Its always good to have an additional oppinion. If I predict Stowe will get 6-12", that's what I tell everyone. I have no formal training in meteorology but they noticed my forecasts were usually spot on which I appreciated.

With all that said, I bombed this last storm and my snowfall forecast was dead wrong. Temperatures didn't "plummet" right after the cold front but had risen enough ahead of the front that the decrease in temps brought them back to where they were. However, the rain, some ice, and very high winds were correct; that part got me the reply that they would cease operations for the time being based on the weather forecast which I've never seen done; a ski area closing based on a forecast. The decision was made but it was also possible that they could open if it snowed more than forecasted...which wasn't stated publically but showed some guest consideration went into it by choosing/stating they were definitely closed (when within office there was a back-up plan to open) instead of waiting till 6am the next morning to make the call.


Back to the topic of East Coast snowfall differences, last season was my best season yet. Skied powder 75% of the days, and had two ridiculous days (24-48") with a handful of sweet days (12-24"). Powder lasted until the next thaw, but after each thaw the northern Greens recovered within a day or two due to orographic snows while south of I-89 struggled. March 16th was the top example as MRG was closed due to lack of snow. Closed. Meanwhile, Jay Peak, Bolton, Stowe, and Smuggs were enjoying some awesome conditions. The Mansfield Stake was over the six foot mark. Check out the Stowe video gallery and March 16th...when we shot that we hadn't found the deep, deep stuff that looked like this:

scott%20pow.JPG

aaron3.JPG


The Best Powder clip I have of myself on camera

It was just one of those days I'll never forget, good friends, deep powder, and it was just absolutely dumping in that way that gives you euphoria from just watching it.

hiking%20powder%20smiles.JPG

hiking.JPG


Sorry, I get carried away but need something to get through these depressing days. Feel free to shoot away at me about anything Stowe but figued I'd let everyone know here as many already know. I don't think of it as Stowe per se but as Mount Mansfield which I believe could be the best ski mountain in the east considering snowfall, terrain, sustained vertical, tree skiing everywhere, backcountry/sidecountry, and its aesthetically pleasing (Jay's tram arriving on the top of the face looks extremely cool, too).
 
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