SoCal and Ski Area Fires, Sept. 2024

Not sure much remains of Mt High East or West at this point:

Fires across west impacting ski areas
Sounds like much more might remain of Mountain High than many expected.

Sorry about the paywall, but the headline at least suggests a potentially more positive outcome than expected: https://www.latimes.com/california/...in-high-but-famed-ski-resort-largely-survived

The local CBS affiliate suggests Mountain High might have mitigated much of the damage by turning on the snow-making system: https://inciweb.wildfire.gov/incide...ge-fire/bridge-fire-morning-update-09-10-2024

The Bridge Fire was also right at Baldy's doorstep this morning: https://inciweb.wildfire.gov/incide...ge-fire/bridge-fire-morning-update-09-10-2024
 
Mountain High might have mitigated much of the damage by turning on the snow-making system:
Hopefully so. Even then it will take a lot of work to figure out what still works, what got heat damage (often times not visible for metal structures and haul ropes, etc...) and how many trees have to be cleared.

I just know there are a bunch of fires, how many are human caused vs natural (most or all of them)?

I know they just arrested someone for one of our large July fires in Colo. It had been simply listed as 'human caused' for the past 6 weeks. Just so many utterly clueless humans in the modern world it seems.
 
Roundup of fires by Ski Area Management Magazine.

Mt. High video on Powder Magazine site:

This one on X is fast forwarded, covering 12 minutes of time in 5 seconds

If you full screen the video above, the time stamp at the bottom shows it between 4:44 and 4:56PM yesterday and the location as Mt. High East, 8,182 feet. I believe both of the above videos are of the Discovery chair at the top of East. IMHO this is the best beginner lift in SoCal, being at high elevation and with minimal advanced skier traffic. Some beginners need to download the 1,600 vertical East Express though.

On my midweek visits in recent years Discovery has not been running, though I've skied the run there on the way to West. When Mt. High says,
“Fire raced through the area yesterday, but all the main lifts and buildings survived with little to no damage.”
I'll hazard a guess that Discovery is not considered "main," and if it is damaged Mt. High is not likely to be in a hurry to fix or replace it. The top terminal of the East Express is very "main" IMHO, though perhaps management disagrees with that too. Unlike Discovery, there are not any trees close to that terminal so I am somewhat hopeful that it is not damaged.

The Bridge Fire (now 48,000 acres) originated in the East Fork San Gabriel River canyon and threatens Mt. Baldy Village from the west. This fire is not particularly close to the Baldy ski area. The much smaller (2936 acres) Vista Fire a few weeks ago was in the Lytle Creek drainage directly behind the ski area but it is now 100% contained.

I was in Alhambra yesterday noon and took this pic of the Bridge Fire's pyrocumulus cloud:
IMG_5651.jpg


The Line Fire was the first one this month to get started Sept. 5 around Hwy 330 between Highland and Running Springs. It is now 35,000 acres, 14% contained and has reached the canyon on the backside of Snow Valley's Slide Peak.

We were in San Clemente Monday to escape the last day of the big heat wave when the Airport Fire started in the Trabuco Canyon area of Orange County. It is now 19,000 acres, 0% contained and has burned across the Santa Ana mountains into the Lake Elsinore area.

While the heat wave is done and it's not that windy, all 3 fires are big and will take some time to control.

The L.A. County record Station Fire of 160,577 acres began Aug. 30, 2009 and was 100% contained Oct. 16. The Bobcat Fire of 115,997 acres began Sept. 6, 2020 and was 100% contained Nov. 27. Both of those fires closed Mt. Waterman for the following season due to road and phone line damage despite no damage to the ski area itself.
 
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The Bridge Fire (now 48,000 acres) originated in the East Fork San Gabriel River canyon and threatens Mt. Baldy Village from the west. This fire is not particularly close to the Baldy ski area.
How do you define "particularly close"?

Unless I am misunderstanding the geography, which is certainly possible, this morning's map (https://inciweb.wildfire.gov/incide...ge-fire/bridge-fire-morning-update-09-10-2024) makes it looks like the distance between closest point of the perimeter of the fire and Baldy's base was about 1.25-1.5 miles:

IMG_8057.jpeg


For a point of reference, the fire is believed to have started at about 2:15pm on Sunday about 7.5 miles West.
 
the geography
Yes, the fire would have to cross the main Baldy Bowl/San Antonio drainage coming from the top of the actual Mt. Baldy 10,000 feet. It has moved up that drainage some since I first looked but has not crossed to the east side of the road anywhere yet. There is at least one more drainage (the slackcountry Eric's) between Baldy Bowl and the ski area. The smaller Vista Fire was immediately behind the Baldy ski area, sort of like the Line Fire is with Snow Valley now.
 
That’s good news about mountain high. I watched the east cams yesterday and it didn’t look good. Though at least they had time to blow some water across the hill before the fire arrived.

I am keeping my fingers crossed for Baldy. The fire is firmly established in the San Antonio Canyon and high on the ridge to the west, with reports of homes lost in the Baldy Village area. It may still be a few drainages away from the ski area are, but that’s not a place you want to see a fire with the prevailing southwest winds and weeks if not months before you can expect meaningful precipitation.

Fortunately they don’t have to worry about the northeast flank wrapping around in a north wind event, as the Vista Fire should provide a good break.

Screenshot below from the Watch Duty app. Orange spots are satellite detected hot spots (lower resolution than the official fire perimeter, so you have to imagine the heat source is at the center of the dots). Footprint of the Vista Fire earlier this summer is shown in grey under the Legend icon.
IMG_4673.jpeg
 
Update from Powder Magazine:
The Caanf Bridge Fire moved through parts of Mountain High Resort overnight, briefly engaging with a few lifts. However, as of 11 a.m. this morning, initial reports indicate that base facilities remain intact. Los Angeles County Fire Station 130, stationed at the West Resort, has been credited with the incredible work of defending the property. The captain of Engine 130 also confirmed that the building and restaurant at the top of East Resort survived the fire.
I'd say the top of the East Express is OK, considering that the nearby restaurant is a wooden structure and near some trees. No word yet on the Discovery lift.

The link above also has a picture from the top of West in the same time frame ~4:45PM Tuesday, which unlike East has no flames in the foreground. I read elsewhere that Mt. High turned on its snow guns to water vegetation. I'd guess this was only at West.

I have read that the fire remains west of the Mt. Baldy Road, and that fire crews are using that road to put people and equipment in to contain the fire.
 
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Detailed update this morning on the Bridge Fire from the Claremont Courier:

Most of Baldy Village saved from Bridge Fire; Claremont evacuation warning lifted

Seems like encouraging news for Baldy.

When does the season start for Santa Ana winds, and how much risk do they pose in terms of potential rapid expansion of both the Bridge and Line fires? With basically no precipitation in SoCal this time of year, I don't see how these fires will not at least smolder for weeks or months.
 
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How is it possible that this infrastructure didn't incur major heat damage?
That's the Discovery chair at the top of East. We don't know yet whether it was damaged. The video briefly pans to the top of the East Express (you can see that it's a quad) and there are no immediate flames nearby though the sky is as smoky as the rest of the video.
 
When does the season start for Santa Ana winds, and how much risk do they pose in terms of potential rapid expansion of both the Bridge and Line fires? With basically no precipitation in SoCal this time of year, I don't see how these fires will not at least smolder for weeks or months.

The first Santa Ana events can happen as early as mid-late September, but the peak of the hot, dry wind season is more like October - November. Once the northern hemisphere storm track gets organized enough that low pressure systems can dive into the Great Basin and pull a cool airmass behind them, setting up the offshore flow. The Bridge and Line fires will certainly smolder for weeks / months, like the Station and Bobcat fires did.

The potential for big runs on these fires with Santa Ana winds is definitely there, but I suspect it's mitigated somewhat by the fact that Santa Ana's blow in the opposite direction to the usual southwest winds that carried these large fires. I don't recall any major runs during Santa Ana season on either the Station or Bobcat fires. A week gives crews a lot of time to clean up the southern edge of the fire, which is not very intense now because it has to expand into the prevailing wind. And when an offshore wind does come, the more active northern end will be blow back on itself. The place to watch out would be on the flanks in the higher or less accessible terrain.

Fortunately for Baldy the Vista Fire earlier this year now provides a decent firebreak for any flanking from the north.
 
The first Santa Ana events can happen as early as mid-late September, but the peak of the hot, dry wind season is more like October - November. Once the northern hemisphere storm track gets organized enough that low pressure systems can dive into the Great Basin and pull a cool airmass behind them, setting up the offshore flow.
The "cool airmass behind them" are becoming less frequent with hotter continental summers. Santa Ana wind events are more concentrated in the cooler months and are by my gut less frequent in September than when I was growing up. The signature stat for extreme hot Santa Anas is a low temp in downtown L.A. of 80F or more. There are 13 calendar dates where the record high low temp is 80F or more. 12 of those are in September and one in October. Because of the "cool airmass behind them" requirement, there are no such dates in July and August. As for those 13 dates, when were they? One in 1913, four in 1939, two in 1955, one in 1961, three in 1963, two in 1984 and one in 1988. This data reinforces my opinion that Santa Ana events in September are becoming rare.

This doesn't mitigate fire risk; the Station, Bobcat and current fires all started during "heat dome" episodes without much wind. And we still get the Santa Ana driven fires, notably the 250,000 acre Thomas Fire in Ventura/Santa Barbara counties that started on Dec. 4, 2017. The upcoming autumn fire season could be bad because there is a lot of fuel from the prior two wet winters. 1978 and 1993 were very destructive SoCal fire seasons in part for that reason.
 
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Mountain High's webcam streams on Youtube are still frozen at when they lost power. You can still view the previous ~6 hours showing the fire approaching. Some dramatic views of employees rushing to get the snowmaking system going as smoke pours over the ridge:
1726350749421.png


For a sense of timing, this was about an hour and a half before the cams cut out, presumably because they lost power. There were no flames visible in the West Base cam at that point, but the Chisholm cam shows nearby trees being engulfed at the same time.

Meanwhile the Line fire in the San Bernardino mountains is picking up today. Here's the top of Slide Peak at Snow Valley with smoke blowing into the top of the lift, though most of the activity is across the valley heading towards the Big Bear area.
1726351224849.png
 
That's a decent result for Mountain High. I could not read the article.

Sierra-at-Tahoe infrastructure did not survive well after initial reports of optimism. Most lifts needed some type of work, such as haul ropes, comm lines, etc., even if they were not in the line of fire. It will be interesting to see if Mountain High opens East this year.

Since the day Paul Beran, our Director of Mountain Operations, returned to Sierra-at-Tahoe to witness the damage in the aftermath of the Caldor Fire, getting Grandview back on-line has been one of his crew’s top priorities — and most daunting tasks. The damage caused by the Caldor Fire to Grandview’s haul rope, literally melting it from the inside out, necessitated an entire replacement of the 10,000-foot rope.

 
It will be interesting to see if Mountain High opens East this year.
East is a low priority but I'm fairly confident the bottom-to-top high speed quad will operate under similar weather parameters as the last couple of years. The now damaged chair did not run on the midweek day I was there last year.

From many SoCal hikes I have a fairly trained eye for fire damages observed up close. This Sierra Tahoe pic from tseeb's reference is quite illuminating:
20220929_brianwalker_00302.jpg

I notice 4 levels of tree condition in this pic as on my SoCal hikes.
1) Lower left trees are green and mostly still alive
2) Center right trees still have leaves at the top but are all brown, mostly dead.
3) Beyond those center right trees are black charred skeletons.
4) West Bowl at upper left burnt to the ground and is just ash. That's the most intense.

There was a lot of that scorched earth on the Angeles Crest up to about 6,000 feet after the Station Fire in 2009. My hikes after the Bobcat Fire did not have so much, mostly levels 2) and 3). Kratka Ridge had a few level 2) but most trees looked OK. The Station Fire got into Waterman's sidecountry but only burned ground cover, not trees. I suspect that's mostly what happened at Mt. High from the Bridge Fire this year except for the beginner sector at the top of East. The L.A. Times article described how snow guns were moved to cover the perimeter of West, then turned on before the last people evacuated. Some of those guns were still spraying water when staff returned the next morning as they are fed by gravity from a snowmaking pond at the top of West.
 
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Turns out that the snowguns that were set to soak the border of Mountain High kept spraying water even after the power went out. Gravity was enough since the reservoirs are at the top. The GM, Dan Smith, has worked at Mountain High in various roles since the late 1990s.

October 20, 2024
" . . .
He [GM Dan Smith] directed the team to start placing snowmaking guns strategically along the perimeter of the resort. Some 50 employees — enlisted from a wide range of departments — moved around the resort as the skies grew increasingly dark with smoke.
. . .

Smith sent another team member racing toward the snowmaking control center to activate the giant water system.

The team had stationed about 100 of their roughly 500 snow guns to defend the resort. While they could start about three quarters of them with the push of a button, the rest had to be turned on by hand.

As the majority of the staff evacuated, Smith and a handful of employees remained and raced around the property activating snow guns.
. . .

The upper elevations of the resort lost power first. By 5:30 p.m., the base area went dark as well. Without electricity, the water pumps for the snow guns fell silent. Now, the guns were powered only by gravity, which sent water rushing downhill from the 500,000-gallon reservoirs and out the guns’ nozzles.
. . .

Smith arrived back at Mountain High the next morning to assess the damage and assist firefighters. The fire continued to rage on — still with hundred-foot flames, just not fanned by violent winds.

“I came up through Wrightwood, and before you get up to our East Resort, … you’re like, ‘hey, everything’s gone,’” Smith said. “But then you hit the East Resort and start seeing green trees, and you see buildings, and you’re like, ‘Well, damn, that ain’t so bad.’”

Not only was the majority of the resort standing, but the snowmaking guns were still pouring water onto the edge of the resort.

In all, the resort had one, unessential ski lift damaged, while a few ski patrol and maintenance shacks burned down.
. . ."
 
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