American Election 2024

Someone is having a great ski trip.

Impressive that he could get out of Washington, DC, early on Friday (nothing on his schedule besides upending the USA-centric world order) to get to Sugarbush, Vermont.

I am kinda of a Reagan, Red Dawn, Anti-Communist American who grew up practicing nuclear war drills at school - hiding in basement locker rooms with hands over head to brace for potential Russian missiles.

Every dollar we spend on the Ukraine kills, wounds, and weakens Russia politically and economically (or North Korea now) and enriches our Defense Companies—a cheap way to boost the American economy and directly hurt our enemies.

Maybe Vance would cause less stir in Utah or Idaho? Or wherever a Manchurian Candidate is welcome....


 
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Someone is having a great ski trip.

Impressive that he could get out of Washington, DC, early on Friday (nothing on his schedule) to get to Sugarbush, Vermont.

Maybe Vance would cause less stir in Utah or Idaho?


Definition of an entitled person of power.
 
Trump Takes the Dumbest Tariff Plunge
He says the 25% levies on Mexico and Canada will begin Tuesday. Stocks fall.


From the Wall Street Journal editorial board: (Very conservative)

“We’ve courted Mr. Trump’s ire by calling the Mexico and Canada levies the “dumbest” in history, and we may have understated the point. Mr. Trump is whacking friends, not adversaries. His taxes will hit every cross-border transaction, and the North American vehicle market is so interconnected that some cars cross a border as many as eight times as they’re assembled…”

“Mr. Trump is volatile, and who knows how long he’ll keep the tariffs in place. Retaliation that hits certain states and businesses may also cause him to reconsider sooner than he imagines. Investors are trying to read this uncertainty as they also watch growing evidence of a slowing U.S. economy. Unbridled Tariff Man was always going to be a big economic risk in a second term, and here we are.”
 
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Trump Takes the Dumbest Tariff Plunge
He says the 25% levies on Mexico and Canada will begin Tuesday. Stocks fall.


From the Wall Street Journal editorial board:

“We’ve courted Mr. Trump’s ire by calling the Mexico and Canada levies the “dumbest” in history, and we may have understated the point. Mr. Trump is whacking friends, not adversaries. His taxes will hit every cross-border transaction, and the North American vehicle market is so interconnected that some cars cross a border as many as eight times as they’re assembled…”

“Mr. Trump is volatile, and who knows how long he’ll keep the tariffs in place. Retaliation that hits certain states and businesses may also cause him to reconsider sooner than he imagines. Investors are trying to read this uncertainty as they also watch growing evidence of a slowing U.S. economy. Unbridled Tariff Man was always going to be a big economic risk in a second term, and here we are.”
I hope they turn the lights out.
 
Oh, JD Vance....

He's a really, really, really horrible Venture Capitalist - shit career. Essentially, there is no career. So stupid. You can put Ohio into Yale Law, but no quantifiable results. Speaks well, but no results. His wife is a Bay Area Liberal attorney... (Why not deport her to India? And deport Melania back to Slovenia? And do his children deserve citizenship?) Just look at the results of his Ohio Fund. JD Vanc was never (ever) put on any boards of a company he invests in - the one he did in Kentucky. Bankruptcy. Great!

I can judge - I have (helped) raise over $500M in investments (into some excellent and terrible ideas) at leading VCs: Sequoia, Accel, and Kleiner Perkins. I have worked with Elon Musk and Peter Thiel at PayPal. I am talking Series B or C (2nd or 3rd round) - when it's not necessarily a success.

Ideas are so easy; executing is so, so very hard. You do not need a marketing budget: "it works demo is the best".

No stats, but at least 20-25% of my Berkeley MBAs are retired from the early 2000s before the age of 50 (or even 40) - they started Slack, MyFitnessPal, WayFair, Salesforce, etc. When you have $5-50M in the bank, you are OK. The rat racers and prestige chasers... chased Google, Facebook, McKinsey, and DeLoitte. They are still working.

I think it's more of a proper place, right time, right technology vs. anyone's brilliance. Succeeding in tech is very narrow.



My Dad did not have enough money to attend Medical School, and my Mom is/was a nurse, so I try to give back to things essential to society. I even tried a bit of a career in government (I thought the Clean Water Act would have bipartisan support in the '90s). I always believe the Government can 'Do More' (intelligently), and it's not a beast we need to starve.

(FYI: I give a lot more to the UC Berkeley system. A lot of monsters are coming out of Dartmouth for its size. I know I was in their frats, so I get updates.)
 
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Canada is an adversary, and Russia is a friend.

What the F is going on?

Again, there are nuclear missiles from Russia pinpointed to all the US Population zones. A tactic?
 
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I am frequently annoyed or disgusted by Trump, but almost never surprised.

There are lots of conspiracy theories about Putin having some blackmail on Trump. That's not really relevant; Trump has consistently behaved as he would if that were the case, but not enough people seem to care.

Trump's animus for Mexico is obvious with his pet issue of immigration. Canada I don't get.

Trump's saving grace despite the overall fascistic profile is that he does not want to get into a war. He is indeed a hard core isolationist.
 
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