American Election 2024

I guess I'm ok with the pardon of Hunter. As Joe Biden said about it, "raw politics has infected this process and it led to a miscarriage of justice." Not exactly a one for one comparison, but that's kind of how I feel about some of the charges against DJT.
 
There is a point where being too high profile makes you an inviting target for prosecution, can apply to celebrities as well as politicians.

I'm sympathetic to jimk's view. I think Trump should have been prosecuted for trying to overthrow the 2020 election, but only because the Senate didn't do its job in 2021.
 
Last edited:
Will Mammoth (and Tahoe) suffer from Trump being elected? Could be behind paywall if you've looked at LA Times lately without subscribing.

"If all the service workers born in Mexico stayed home from their jobs for just one day in this thriving resort town perched high in California’s Sierra Nevada, the humming tourist economy would probably faceplant harder than a first-time skier on an icy expert slope.

Most of the restaurants would have no staff, residents say. Hotels and Airbnbs would suffer the same fate. Construction projects across this posh skiing destination would come to a grinding halt."
 
I don't think the labor pool for ski town hotels, restaurants, construction varies that much by whether resorts are considered "posh." And I suspect that labor pool is not that much different in Utah and Colorado than from Mammoth/Tahoe.

Recall that a lot of the seasonal ski area employees are foreigners on temporary visas. This was a big issue during the pandemic season of 2020-21.
 
I finally spoke with my friend Rufus Gifford (major Obama/Biden fundraiser)...dad exCEO BofA.

Kamala Harris was never ahead in their internal polls, but close (0-1.5 pts). Always behind. Even after a September debate about eating dogs and cats. Still Behind. National media polls were A LOT more positive.

The plan was to stay close and have either:
  • Undecideds break heavily to Dems
  • Big turnouts among core Democratic groups

Me - you remember Carter? Inflation slays incumbents.

I don't think they had a plan to separate Kamala from Biden....

And the loss was just 1.5 points when so many in Mega Blue States gave up. There was a win there - someone really smart could have put this together.

I really, really blame Biden for not passing the torch earlier. It was time for Gov-Shapiro PA & Whitmer-MI just to win it all!
 
Last edited:
ChrisC said:
I really, really blame Biden for not passing the torch earlier.
Click to expand...
Multiple reasons, but I agree that was #1.
ChrisC said:
Me - you remember Carter? Inflation slays incumbents.
Click to expand...
+1 I try to bring historical perspective. History of US inflation here. Political views are rampant with recency bias. The 1970's inflation was a different animal, persisted for many years and became embedded in people's expectations. It took draconian interest rates in the upper teens and a recession with double digit unemployment to kill it. Other inflation spikes at the end of both World Wars were short lived, and it always seemed reasonable to me that the COVID/supply chain inflation this time would be similar. As with a lot of economic events, this was not the fault of a president, either Trump or Biden.

But how many voters today remember Carter and the 1970's? And for many who should, there's the recency bias issue. For lots of people the 2021-23 inflation was a new and unpleasant experience and they were plenty pissed about it.
 
Last edited:
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top