Perhaps I should follow Patrick's destination itineraries more closely in the future. His recent track record is pretty good, considering Jackson Hole in 2006 and Chillan this time.
Nonetheless this trip and the snow stats from Portillo have raised some red flags about South America's snow reliability. Before the trip I had presumed that Las Lenas and Valle Nevado had similar snowfall and that Portillo got more. I now have Portillo's stats and they are similar to Las Lenas. There is little question that Valle Nevado gets less, 72% of Portillo over the past 3 seasons.
So Portillo and Las Lenas are in the 250 inch average range and Valle Nevado less than 200. Volatility of precipitation is in fact quite similar to what we see here in L.A. at similar latitude. The snow averages are higher than Baldy/Waterman due to higher elevation in the Andes so the precipitation is all snow vs. some rain in SoCal. But the Portillo stats are in both snowfall average and volatility very similar to Arizona Snowbowl, which is at comparable elevation. As we know from recent experience there (plus the 7 seasons at Portillo under 2.5 meters) the risk of extreme drought is real.
I would like to get some stats from Chillan, but that may not happen until I actually go there (I should have assigned Patrick that task!). Bariloche by its own website claims annual snowfall of 60 inches at the base, 120 mid-mountain and 240 on top. Bariloche had an exceptionally good season in 2007, and it's quite clear to me that John Nash should have gone there instead of the VN group.