American Election 2024

the clubfooted Dems have been unsuccessful in defeating him decisively after ten years
As I pointed out a few days before the election ^^, the Dems are helpless against the GOP's masterful practitioners of the dark Machiavellian arts. On that note, Bret Stephens gets to say I told you so repeatedly while diehard lefty Gail Collins stews and eats crow.

Bill Burr on SNL/skip to 2:20:
 
On Nov. 6, I wrote:
Trump currently has a popular vote lead of 4.5 million (3.3%), which is likely to end up more like 3.5 million after California is fully counted.
Refer to the table of electoral college bias since 1952 that I posted earlier. The bias on average is a measly 0.12% in favor of the Republicans and should get even closer to zero with final 2024 numbers.
Trump's popular vote lead is down to 3 million and 2.0% now (California is 88% counted). The margin in tipping point Pennsylvania is 1.8%, so currently there is a tiny 0.2% electoral college bias in favor of the Democrats in 2024, which may vanish when California is done.
 
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The margin in tipping point Pennsylvania is 1.8%, so currently there is a tiny 0.2% electoral college bias in favor of the Democrats in 2024, which may vanish when California is done.
You can slice and dice the beans all you want about which party it favored. The electoral college needs to go, full stop (of course it won't in my lifetime, possibly ever).
 
The electoral college needs to go, full stop (of course it won't in my lifetime, possibly ever).
I take this as poor understanding of why it exists in the first place. It was not some historical accident as many MSM will pitch it today, it was a very intentional set up and remains very important, though I also fully expect that we will agree to disagree on the topic.
 
You can slice and dice the beans all you want about which party it favored. The electoral college needs to go, full stop (of course it won't in my lifetime, possibly ever).
Yes it's a relic, and the rationale for it in 1787 no longer applies. My point is that long term it is not biased toward a particular party, small vs. large states, etc. The extremely high 3.82% bias in 2020 was alarming but thankfully it was wiped out this time and hopefully is a very rare occurrence going forward. Both parties would be well advised to direct their reform efforts toward objectives that don't require amending the Constitution IMHO.
 
The EC is built to keep rural areas relevant, right? It does do that.
:eusa-wall: The rural red states are every bit as irrelevant as NY and CA to the Electoral College. What relevant are the swing states, 7 of them this time.

Over time states evolve in or out of swing status. In Obama's era Colorado and Virginia were swing states but in Trump's era are blue. In Obama's era Florida, Iowa and Ohio were swing states but in Trump's era are red. In 2016 Hillary didn't think Wisconsin and Michigan were swing states, but surprise!

California was the tipping point state in 1948 and voted Republican for president every time from 1952 - 1988 except for the LBJ landslide in 1964, though narrowly in 1960, 1968, 1976 and 1988. It's only been a safe blue state for President since 1992.
 
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