Western Weather 2017-18 and Later

Lee Canyon, near Las Vegas, NV, opened one beginner lift and run today. They are letting you mountain bike and ski on the same ticket. They also have very inexpensive advance purchase tickets through 12/20. I will be in area 12/13 and would consider going if they can open more. See https://www.leecanyonlv.com/
 
Loving the Western weather all of a sudden. Went from ridiculously warm and dry through late Oct to very snowy/stormy (well for the mtns, maybe down low for this next round). Copper had like 20" out of the last storm system a few days ago, a brief break and it is already pounding again today.

Eldora got ~8" from the last storm and has made a lot of snow (also snowing again now with ~a foot predicted for them over next couple of days). Well, that means Eldora is now opening early on Thursday Nov 7th. That is more than a week early. Not a ton of terrain of course, but about as much as anyone else. Eldora Opening Day Blog Post

Others:
  • Surprised to see exactly zero snowmaking by ABasin since they opened up. No idea when a 2nd trail will come online for them.
  • Surprised to see exactly no snowmaking on the lower part of Homerun yet at Loveland. Likely best case of open by Sat or Sun.
  • Copper will also be open with at least Main Vein on lower mtn by scheduled opening of Friday. Looks like they prioritized public and not racers once they got Copperopolis open for training up top. That said they got good snow last time and if it keeps coming they might be among the first to open natural snow along I70...
  • Keystone being 'Epic' is as opaque as ever about pretty much all topics. All I know is they are open with one trail.
  • Winter Park blowing lots of snow down low, but they traditionally open the most horrifically flat terrain you ever saw so won't be worth it even if they open anytime soon....
  • If you really want terrain Wolf Creek might finally be more or less skiable by this weekend with 41" YTD snowfall and 2 more feet forecast this week (unlike their opening weekend with lots of dirt/rocks).

I guess my point is Eldora might be very crowded; as why drive 2-3 times as far into the mtns for a similar 1-2 trails when Eldo has the same on 1K verts?

I still scratch my head as to why Utah resorts have been getting the same weather pattern but I have yet to hear of any openings. Surely there are enough skiers in the valley now to justify an early opening or two?
 
I still scratch my head as to why Utah resorts have been getting the same weather pattern but I have yet to hear of any openings. Surely there are enough skiers in the valley now to justify an early opening or two?
I believe Colorado is overall doing better than Utah so far. Utah is on the edge of these storms tracking from Oregon to Colorado. Alta's season to date including October is 35 inches, which is about average. Evan at Utah Open Snow:
Obviously, we need bigger storms to really build a base. This far out it's impossible to know if these storms will be stronger, but there's always a chance and we can watch over the next week to see how they look. Stay tuned!
Even after the spectacular October in 2004:
4-8 feet of snow fell in October, opening Brighton for Halloween and Snowbird a week later.
I have no evidence that Alta has ever advanced its opening date. Brighton is the one to look for, and its website isn't even tallying new snow yet.

Oregon is where we should be looking after 40 inches of snow that I'm sure built a better base than in Utah or Colorado. Timberline opened last weekend, but that appeared to be a one shot event.
 
Too early to post the fun and ridiculous looking %'s on the Westwide snotel?? Clearly north-central Oregon is the place to be with 4,200% of normal, lol. At least the Westwide now has more of California showing, though still needs to add all of the central and southern sierras...

snowtel 1107.png
 
We had a very widespread Santa Ana event this week, felt throughout SoCal. There's currently one big fire in Ventura County, lucky there are not more. We did not get unusual heat with this one (highs mid-70's) but high winds and <10% humidity are still dangerous.
 
Mt Bachelor opening on November 15. The earliest opening in 26 years.
I would assume that's POWDR Corp sticking to a fixed opening date rather than how much snow is on the ground. POWDR bought Bachelor in April 2001. As far as snow is concerned, Bachelor should be able to open in early November at least as often as Mammoth does.

So it's interesting that POWDR changes policy this year when they are trying to sell the place.
 
Bachelor was scheduled to open November 29. Their email includes:

OPENING 2 WEEKS EARLY
Passholder-Only Opening Weekend
Big news! We’re kicking off the season 2 weeks early, this Friday, November 15, to Passholders only. Recent snow coupled with a monumental effort from our teams sets us up for our earliest opening in 26 years.

What to Expect:
• More snowfall this week

• Skyliner and Little Pine are expected to spin from 9:00 a.m. - 4:00 p.m. Friday through Sunday
• Small terrain park in Pacific City
• Annual banner breakthrough celebration at Skyliner at 9:00 a.m. on Friday
• Passholder-only discounts at West Village and Mt. Bachelor Sports Pro Shop
• Uphill Policy will be in effect: 24/25 Uphill Pass required

• Early season conditions, ski and ride with caution

Ikon Pass and Mt. Bachelor passholders are all invited to join the fun this weekend. The Nordic Center will also be open with access to Nordic Passholders only. We will reopen to the public next weekend, November 22-24, with daily operations starting on November 29. Please note, Mt. Bachelor will be fully closed to the public, including uphill access, November 12-14.​
 
I would assume that's POWDR Corp sticking to a fixed opening date rather than how much snow is on the ground.
I wonder how much having sizable local population plays a part for Bachelor. Eldora has had the explicit option to open whenever local leadership thinks they can/want during Powdr corp ownership. But that's with lots of 'locals' available to provide solid early season revenue.
 
Bend, OR, has doubled in size during the last twenty years to 100k, but I am not sure that is sizeable enough to warrant extending the season - early or late (now). Most have moved to the semi-desert of Oregon for lifestyle reasons and likely have passes of some type.

Although close to Portland, Salem, and Eugene, these urban skiers are less likely to make the 3-3.5 hour trek. Despite record snowfall statistics, few Seattle skiers are willing to drive 2.5 hours to Mt. Baker.

Crystal Mt. is the only NW ski area willing to extend the ski season if there is good snowfall. Mt. Hood Meadows will go until mid-May. Timberline is its own animal.

The Northwest does not offer great early-season skiing. It's almost entirely weather/snowline dependent, and few NW USA resorts have invested in decent snowmaking. The exception might be Whistler, but they do not use its system to open early. You simply do not get a lot of cold dry air.

Almost all the capital $ went to HS lifts in the 90s/00s in the NW.
 
I wonder how much having sizable local population plays a part for Bachelor.
I suspect very little from the perspective of POWDR Corp bean counters. The Bend locals have season passes, so very early and very late seasons don't add enough day ticket revenue to interest POWDR. The one year 2012 when Bachelor brought in race camps, the mountain was reserved for them the entire month of June and the public including passholders were only allowed the final 3 days June 29 - July 1. That policy would be unthinkable at Mammoth. I consider myself blessed by Mammoth's aggressive stance toward both early and late season, but that attitude is rare in the ski industry these days.
The Northwest does not offer great early-season skiing. It's almost entirely weather/snowline dependent
Yes but Bachelor is to the NW what Mammoth is to the Sierra. That includes relatively high base elevation and a less humid climate east of the Cascade Crest. Plus the whole lower mountain at Bachelor is intermediate groomers below tree line that could easily handle snowmaking. Of course, as with all western areas the caveat is how much water supply is available for snowmaking?
few NW USA resorts have invested in decent snowmaking.
Most of them probably don't consider the investment worth it beyond high traffic areas near their bases. Higher up early season snowfall is more abundant and more consistent than most ski regions of the world. I'll bet if I lived there I'd ski more before Christmas than in most places.
Almost all the capital $ went to HS lifts in the 90s/00s in the NW
Pre-POWDR Bachelor was a remarkably early adopter in that regard considering it never had much of an overcrowding problem. In the 90s/00s I considered Bachelor the Vail of the Northwest in a complimentary way with nearly all high speed lifts and impeccable grooming, enabling insane amounts of vertical including my only day over 50K and two of the other 8 over 40K.
 
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Yes but Bachelor is to the NW what Mammoth is to the Sierra. That includes relatively high base elevation and a less humid climate east of the Cascade Crest. Plus the whole lower mountain at Bachelor is intermediate groomers below tree line that could easily handle snowmaking. Of course, as with all western areas the caveat is how much water supply is available for snowmaking?

It seems reasonable that Mt. Bachelor could open a few runs early. If Mammoth could find access to water, I assume Mt. Bachelor could. However, Mammoth installed its snowmaking in the 1990s? With Bend's population 4x the size of what it was in the 1990s, I am sure water is scarce.

My experience was that moisture is present in November in the NW. The question is whether it is snow or rain. I think I skied once pre-December, Thanksgiving, at Mt. Baker. Although ski bases quickly could develop in December in most weekends were quite good - even at 30-60 inches. And you did not have mid-Winter crowding. Especially the ski school programs that would startup after Christmas that everyone in Seattle seemed to be enrolled in (Yes - there were private non-resort ski schools. Not sure about that now.)

December often was better than March because of low light, new snow, colder temps, few thaws, etc.
 
I saw Killington opens tomorrow - seems quite late, but weather has been warm. Looks like it was the 5th worst in recent memory, and not too far off its new average.

Powdr really shortened the Killington season early in its ownership days.

SEASON OPEN/CLOSE DATES
2023/24 November 3- June 1
2022/23 November 17- June 1
2021/22 November 5 - June 4
2020/21 November 20 - May 16
2019/20 November 3 - March 14 (early closure due to COVID-19)
2018/19 October 19 - June 2
2017/18 November 8 - May 26
2016/17 October 25 - June 1
2015/16 October 18 - May 28
2014/15 November 3 - May 24
2013/14 October 23 - May 18
2012/13 Oct. 13-15; Nov. 5-May 26
2011/12 October 29 - April 22
2010/11 November 2 - May 1
2009/10 November 7 - April 25
2008/09 Nov. 2-6, Nov. 19-May 2
2007/08 November 16 - April 20

2006/07 November 23 - May 6
2005/06 Oct. 29-30; Nov. 19 - May 1
2004/05 November 9 - May 15
2003/04 November 10 - May 12
2002/03 October 25 - May 26
2001/02 November 6 - June 1
2000/01 October 29 - May 27
1999/00 October 25 - May 29
1998/99 October 22 - May 25
1997/98 October 1 - May 25
1996/97 October 4 - June 22
1995/96 October 17 - June 10
1994/95 October 3 - June 4
1993/94 October 1 - June 9
1992/93 October 1 - June 1
1991/92 October 21 - June 14
1990/91 October 27 - May 28
1989/90 October 10 - May 28
1988/89 October 13 - May 21
1987/88 October 12 - June 1
 
how do you define "early-season revenue"? F&B sales?
Bachelor being a Powdr corp resort it will get a certain amount of $ per skier day from Ikon. If you have a Bachelor only pass (eg live in Bend) then you are not getting much in incremental revenue, but any Ikon skiers days gets you more $ from Alterra. That plus any F&B, lessons, etc...

Eldora does still sell its own passes but almost all of those are being sold to the small number of folks in Nederland who live within a few minutes. So even any Boulderites or etc... are almost all Ikon pass holders which gets Eldora more $$ as soon as they can open and start scanning passes. So Bachelor would need to have a good enough ski product to attract Portland skiers with Ikon passes I suspect.
 
Ikon is unlimited at Eldora but it's on the 5 or 7 day plan at Bachelor. Thus the Bend locals have to buy a dedicated Bachelor pass.
So Bachelor would need to have a good enough ski product to attract Portland skiers with Ikon passes I suspect.
I may think Bachelor is a better ski product, but those Portland skiers have Mt. Hood within easy daytrip distance and we have had enough discussion over the years here to know that many skiers draw a hard line between daytrip resorts and those requiring overnight lodging.

9 years I posted the chart that shows POWDR's hard and fast decision regarding the late season.
mtbachelor_closings-jpg.43147
 
Powdr really shortened the Killington season early in its ownership days.
Actually just the 2 first years. I recall meeting then marketing director Tom Horrocks at a NASJA meeting in 2009. I inquired why Killington didn't use the gondola as a transport lift for early season access to the Glades triple. He said they had recently built a walkway from the top of the chair to the top of the gondola to enable that. Since then the median opening date has been Nov. 3. That's not so different from the 5 years prior to POWDR's takeover. The consistent October openings were a feature (perhaps now relic) of the last century. This is one of the few examples IMHO of climate impact on the ski industry. Shoulder seasons in the East have always had a lot of rain and marginal temperatures. So if a ski area is pushing the envelope to earliest possible opening date, that date has probably eroded a couple of weeks since the 80s/90s.

As yet Killington's Thanksgiving weekend World Cup has never been cancelled. I'm sure they are glad Thanksgiving is its latest possible date in 2024. Early season World Cup cancellations are not uncommon in Europe.

On the back end of the season, Killington's curtailment of spring lasted 4 more seasons through 2012, though the spring of 2012 was so hot I doubt the snow would have lasted much into May anyway. Since 2013 Killington appears to have a consistent Memorial Day objective.
 
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